3A state meet preview
When & where: Friday and Saturday at Silver Spurs Arena in Kissimmee. Wrestling Friday starts with weigh-ins at 8 a.m. and the first round at 10 a.m. with first-round wrestlebacks immediately following, and second-round wrestlebacks following those. On Saturday, wrestling begins at 9:30 a.m. with semifinal competition. Third- (blood round) and fourth-round (consi semis) wrestleback competition follows after. Placing-round matches will take placer afterward. Finals are scheduled for 6:30 p.m.
Team outlook: I would expect that South Dade should be favored, but Fleming Island will chase hard and could push the Buccaneers for the team title. I would look at Palm Harbor, Wellington, Flagler Palm Coast, Hagerty and Southwest Miami all to be in the mix for top-five team honors.
106
Matmen picks, sure to be wrong: 1. Luis Peraza (South Dade). 2. Ryan Rowland (Hagerty). 3. Louis Gagliardo (Fleming Island). 4. Chris Difiore (Wellington). 5. Jaekus Hines (Osceola). 6. Jason Wolk (Stoneman Douglas).
Sentinel picks, sure to be less wrong: 1. Peraza. 2. Rowland. 3. Hines. 4. Christopher Busutil (Southridge). 5. Gagliardo. 6. Difiore.
First-rounders not to miss: Three, all in the top half: Rowland v. Noah Wadle (Manatee); Gagliardo v. Hines; Wolk v. Busutil.
Local outlook —
Gagliardo: With his fourth-place finish at regions, he draws quite a capable region champ in Hines in the first round. Gagliardo has a 3-2 win in hand, but that was back in December. Assuming survival through Friday, he could get a semis rematch with Rowland, with whom he went double-overtime on Rowland’s home mat last week. A finals appearance — and another shot at Peraza, who’s proven tricky to solve in a couple of chances — is not out of possibility.
Trent Burke, Flagler Palm Coast: Is facing Palm Harbor University freshman Mikey Cuttitta, who went 6-2 with Hines last week, so he’s capable. But Burke’s been on a roll of late, and the way he’s been wrestling, a Saturday appearance is in the works.
113
Matmen picks, sure to be wrong: 1. Gabe Naranjo (Palm Harbor University). 2. Briar Jackson (Fleming Island). 3. Isaac Duran (South Dade). 4. Santiago Portilla (Cypress Bay). 5. John Johnson (Flagler Palm Coast). 6. Michael Goldstein (Spanish River).
Sentinel picks, sure to be less wrong: 1. Naranjo. 2. Jackson. 3. Goldstein. 4. Portilla. 5. Johnson. 6. Anthony Siplin (Southridge).
First-rounders not to miss: Siplin v. Josh Guerra (Riverview), Johnson v. Jesse Weinberg (Wellington), and Christian Fields (Freedom) v. David Colton (Jupiter).
Local outlook —
Jackson: Path to the final has some interesting things about it, but not impossible things. He would face the Siplin-Guerra winner in the quarters, and possibly South Dade in the semi, where he has a prior win in hand. The results have suggested he’s much more locked in than earlier in the year. Naranjo is a tough out, though.
Johnson: Is more than capable of winning against a solid Wellington wrestler in the first round, but then would face Naranjo in the quarter, and that’s a very tall order. But his path in the second consi quarter is not one he can’t navigate through to a medal.
120
Matmen picks, sure to be wrong: 1. Bretli Reyna (South Dade). 2. Michael Bush (Sarasota). 3. Raiden Johnson (Coral Springs). 4. Jayden Bradshaw (Boone). 5. Anthony Vitale (Steinbrenner). 6. Ryan Rosano (Oakleaf).
Sentinel picks, sure to be less wrong: 1. Reyna. 2. Bush. 3. Charles Huffman (Columbus). 4. Rosano. 5. Johnson. 6. Vitale.
First-rounders not to miss: Josue Calderon (Osceola) v. Tony Widrig (Wellington); Reyna v. Dylan Kohn (Hagerty); Bradshaw v. Huffman.
Local outlook —
Rosano: Every time I want to count him out, he proves me wrong time after time, so I’m kind of playing both ends against the middle. I think he’s got a winnable first-rounder, but the quarter against Vitale could be a little complicated, with Reyna waiting in the wings in the semi. A consi rd 2 match with Huffman Friday night would be the crucible. Survive that, and the medal is more real.
Albie Snedaker, Fleming Island: Should have a winnable first-rounder as well (Region 4 has Reyna and Huffman, but isn’t too deep after that), but Bush in the quarters is a very difficult challenge. If Snedaker can get past Kohn Friday night and then Bradshaw Saturday, he’ll have earned a medal.
126
Matmen picks, sure to be wrong: 1. Malyke Hines (Osceola). 2. Tyler Khawly-Orta (South Dade). 3. Smaill Saint Pierre (Freedom-ORL). 4. Kevin Hernandez (Forest Hill). 5. Daishaun Felton (Miamia Beach). 6. Jacob Sandoval (Fleming Island).
Sentinel picks, sure to be less wrong: 1. Hines. 2. Khawly-Orta. 3. Felton. 4. Saint Pierre. 5. Sebastian Melguizo (Columbus). 6. Sandoval.
First-rounders not to miss: Melguizo v. Jacob Spray (Strawberry Crest); Corban Arana (Timber Creek) v. Chrisley Accime (Coral Springs); Sandoval v. Robert Saldarriaga (Wellington).
Local outlook —
Sandoval: The only local in the bracket, Sandoval has achieved another level with his wrestling this year. That should be enough to push him through round 1 and possibly the quarter, where Felton awaits. Honestly, I think Sandoval CAN win that match and make the semi, and ensure the medal. He has surprised me all season.
132
Matmen picks, sure to be wrong: 1. Avery Holder (Flagler Palm Coast). 2. Jaquan English (Fleming Island). 3. Joshua Swan (South Dade). 4. Julian Hernandez (Southwest Miami). 5. Ryan Brown (Lakewood Ranch). 6. Andrew Fletcher (Boone).
Sentinel picks, sure to be less wrong: 1. Holder. 2. Hernandez. 3. Swan. 4. English. 5. Jaylon Andrews (Kathleen). 6. Brown.
First-rounder not to miss: Hernandez v. Matthew Phillips (Winter Springs).
Local outlook —
Holder: There could be pitfalls along the way, but none that he can’t overcome or hasn’t shown he can overcome. The second quarter has some solid talent lurking in it, between Swan and Brown, both of whom could capitalize if Holder’s less than solid on everything. But since mid-January, Holder has been more than solid on everything, and it should stage up the matchup we’ve seen play out at districts and regions.
English: What do the last two weeks say? Only that winning a state title is hard work, and, that English’s win at region duals was more difficult to accomplish than it looked, because it was his best stretch of wrestling perhaps ever. And it could be duplicated. English has a very tough semifinal prospective matchup with Hernandez. Very tough.
138
Matmen picks, sure to be wrong: 1. Alex Urquiza (Southwest Miami). 2. Austin Agazarm (Palm Harbor University). 3. Jared Abramson (Wellington). 4. Michael Martins (Flagler Palm Coast). 5. Vinny Sessa (St Thomas). 6. Ethan Woods (Hagerty).
Sentinel picks, sure to be less wrong: 1. Urquiza. 2. Sessa. 3. Abramson. 4. Martins. 5. Woods. 6. Agazarm.
First-rounders not to miss: Felton Morris (Coral Springs) v. Steven Villalobos (Mater Academy); Brandon VanKampen (Sarasota) v. JJ Contreras (Winter Springs).
Local outlook —
Martins: It’s not a bad draw to the semis and a guaranteed medal for Martins, but the other three in his quarter might be thinking the same thing, so Martins will have to stay on the same point with his attacks that netted him a Region 1 title last weekend. Agazarm, in the semi, would be a tough one.
Dalton Williams, Fleming Island: Could be rough sledding, but so is Williams’ practice room. He’ll have Agazarm in the first round, but could perhaps get past consi rd 1 against Columbus’ David Milton, but Woods likely is going to be waiting there. A Saturday appearance would be an unbelievable weekend.
145
Matmen picks, sure to be wrong: 1. Grant Aronoff (St Thomas). 2. Devin Kohn (Hagerty). 3. Johnny Lovett (Southridge). 4. Cameryn Townsend (Wellington). 5. Tyler Vitulli (Palm Harbor University). 6. Mitchell Carlson (Steinbrenner).
Sentinel picks, sure to be less wrong: 1. Aronoff. 2. Kohn. 3. Lovett. 4. Carlson. 5. Kane Vandemark (Miami Palmetto). 6. Vitulli.
First-rounders not to miss: Chase Fuller (Osceola) v. Carlos Matos (Timber Creek); Carlson v. Dominic Isola (Oviedo).
Local outlook — No locals in field.
152
Matmen picks, sure to be wrong: 1. Brevin Balmeceda (South Dade). 2. Cardeionte Wilson (Miami Palmetto). 3. Gianni Guerriero (St Thomas). 4. Charles Waller (Strawberry Crest). 5. Nolin Eaddy (Osceola). 6. Daniel Haley (Durant).
Sentinel picks, sure to be less wrong: 1. Balmeceda. 2. Wilson. 3. Logan Perkins (Hagerty). 4. Waller. 5. Bakr Khaleel (Palm Beach Gardens). 6. Ben Asher (Royal Palm Beach).
First-rounders not to miss: Sergio Valdes (Southwest Miami) v. Curtis Brock (Flagler Palm Coast); Haley v. Khaleel.
Local outlook —
Brock: Has a winnable match in the first round, even given that it’s Southwest Miami and Region 4, but Waller, in the quarters, would be a taller order to achieve. Brock’s pulled together quite a nice season in the shadows of his senior teammates, and should be poised to be a leader on the FPC mats next year. Saturday should be doable, a medal possible.
160
Matmen picks, sure to be wrong: 1. Todd Perry (South Dade). 2. Adrian Vidaud (Southwest Miami). 3. Alex Kiester (Freedom-TAM). 4. James Totten (Palm Harbor University). 5. Jared Fleitas (Ft Pierce Central). 6. Thanks Alcius (Apopka).
Sentinel picks, sure to be less wrong: 1. Perry. 2. Vidaud. 3. Kiester. 4. Wyatt Forsberg (Oviedo). 5. Fleitas. 6. Totten.
First-rounders not to miss: Vidaud v. Kohl Drake (Newsome); Alcius v. Eric Wilson (Park Vista).
Local outlook —
Jordan Mobley, Buchholz: Has a winnable first-rounder against Wellington’s Ryhan Montes. The road gets tougher from there, with Perry looming in the quarters, but Mobley should be able to get to Saturday. If he can find a road through Alcius in the blood round, a medal would be his.
170
Matmen picks, sure to be wrong: 1. Paul Detwiler (Fleming Island). 2. Mikaelle Fundora (South Dade). 3. Dylan Whitman (Palm Harbor University). 4. Josh Westberry (Ft Pierce Central). 5. Andy Hernandez (Riverview). 6. Michael Fernandez (Southwest Miami).
Sentinel picks, sure to be less wrong: 1. Detwiler. 2. Fundora. 3. Justin Segarra (Hagerty). 4. Lee Long (Palm Beach Gardens). 5. Whitman. 6. Brian Santiago (Timber Creek).
First-rounders not to miss: Fernandez v. Mitchell Clark (Seminole Ridge); Trenton Davidson (Strawberry Crest) v. Segarra.
Local outlook —
Detwiler: Like I said a year ago with Jason Davis, everything is all out there for Detwiler to just go out this weekend and take it. Whitman, who was at 182 when Fleming saw Palm Harbor at state duals, is the biggest unknown out there, as Fundora’s two losses were both to Detwiler, both by first-period fall. Time to find out the answers, and I think Detwiler’s got them.
182
Matmen picks, sure to be wrong: 1. Brandon Dossey (Manatee). 2. Corey Harvey (South Dade). 3. Eric Saber (Wellington). 4. Kendrik Koller (Apopka). 5. Bobby Williams (Winter Springs). 6. Joseph Hatfield (Strawberry Crest).
Sentinel picks, sure to be less wrong: 1. Harvey. 2. Dossey. 3. Saber. 4. Sammy Bencid (Coral Park). 5. Leonard Wooten (Southridge). 6. Williams.
First-rounder not to miss: Williams v. Hatfield.
Local outlook —
Lawrence Smith-Jackson, Buchholz: Has a winnable first-round match, and then would see Harvey in the quarters. When Harvey’s right, he’s pretty tough, but he’s only had 22 matches this year. If there’s an upset to be had, it could be here. Saturday’s a very real prospect, either way, but a way through Williams would need to be found to get a medal this year.
Wilbur Thomas, Flagler Palm Coast: The schematic didn’t do him any favors, with Dossey in round 1, but there’s a quite winnable consi round 1 match in play, and Saturday’s a possibility, but he’s likely to have to go through Williams or Hatfield to get there.
195
Matmen picks, sure to be wrong: 1. Anthony Burburija (Countryside). 2. Chase Sharp (Lakewood Ranch). 3. Jessiah Contreras (Winter Springs). 4. Raymond Haverty (Deland). 5. Joseph Fields (Melbourne). 6. Jacob Mason (Palm Harbor University).
Sentinel picks, sure to be less wrong: 1. Burburija. 2. Sharp. 3. Contreras. 4. Jordi Perez (Jupiter). 5. Fritz Doublas (South Dade). 6. Haverty.
First-rounder not to miss: Mason v. Doublas.
Local outlook — No locals in field.
220
Matmen picks, sure to be wrong: 1. Ryan Smenda (Fleming Island). 2. Tanner Howe (Lakeland). 3. Matthew Toribio (Cypress Bay). 4. Evan Akel (Riverview). 5. Will Litsey (Lake Mary). 6. Bryan Canedo (Royal Palm Beach).
Sentinel picks, sure to be less wrong: 1. Smenda. 2. Toribio. 3. Howe. 4. Canedo. 5. Kenneth Crouse (South Dade). 6. Litsey.
First-rounders not to miss: Akel v. Crouse; Canedo v. Michael Handy (Apopka).
Local outlook —
Smenda: We get one last weekend with this hellacious athlete before he heads off to our TV sets on Saturdays and (eventually, I think) Sundays in the fall. He’s got a good quadrant to move through, should have a solid test from any one of three different kids in the semi and then either an experienced Howe or Toribio on Saturday night. This group isn’t like the groups he had to fight through two years ago at 182 and there’s no Gittman-level kid like last year. Even with only slightly more than half a season, Smenda’s the Gittman-level kid this year.
Leo White, Robert E. Lee: White has been the surprise candidate of District 1 just to get out to this stage of the post-season series. I haven’t seen him wrestle — which, given that it’s Lee, is a surprise — and while I have him making a Friday appearance only, I would have to say I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see him win a match, maybe even his first-rounder.
285
Matmen picks, sure to be wrong: 1. Trayvonne Jackson (South Dade). 2. Jordon Earle (Forest Hill). 3. John Moran (Centennial). 4. Jose Concepcion (Fleming Island). 5. Dylan Perez (Columbus). 6. Christian Sanchez (Southwest Miami).
Sentinel picks, sure to be less wrong: 1. Jackson. 2. Earle. 3. Moran. 4. Concepcion. 5. Will Putman (Plant). 6. Perez.
First-rounders not to miss: Jaden Vilvert (Wharton) v. John Pope (St Thomas); Perez v. Ben Moxley (Lake Mary).
Local outlook —
Concepcion: Has got a solid path to the semis, no matter who he might see in Friday afternoon’s quarterfinal. He’ll be facing either the state’s favorite (Jackson), or the state’s next favorite (Moran, a giant who has to cut significantly to get to 285) in the semi, but he’s put in enough work and has enough experience that he can win at least one on the back side.
Stanley Hollenbach, Fletcher: The schematic putting Region 4 against Region 1 kids didn’t help too much, as Sanchez is a very tough, experienced wrestler to start off with in round 1. Three matches would be a good run, but simply getting here is a good jumpoff point for Hollenbach to be the Northeast’s best in 2018-19.
Pairings for this tournament can be found here.
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