2A-Region 1 preview
When & where: Chiles HS, Tallahassee. First session is set for noon Friday. Saturday’s first session is set for 10 a.m., finals usually begin at discretion of the tournament director and are most often slated for late-afternoon starts.
Team favorite/local outlook: It’s been incredibly difficult to determine who will win the region team championship, and this year appears to be little different. I would expect Lincoln and Matanzas, the two finalists for the Region 1 duals title, to be in contention. I would expect District 1 champion Pace and District 2 runnerup Columbia to be in the same mix. I can think of three or four other teams that might have enough nucleus to make an impact in the team standings. But those would be my four most prominent choices to look at this weekend.
Print brackets for this tournament here: REGION 1 BRACKETS
Like the 1A-Region 1 preview we released earlier today, this preview will be somewhat different from the first two we did earlier this week since, for me, every kid in this tournament is local. We’ll break down each quadrant for all of the weight classes. You’ll actually see each pick at each round, with a quick comment on the round.
The key thing to remember: It’s not personal. Prove me wrong. Or prove me right. I like either one. I’m not telling which one is better. You’ll have to figure that one out for yourself.
Matmen’s state qualifier predictions, sure to be wrong —
106: 1. Matthew Rodriquez (2nd, Ridgeview). 2. Elijah Hendley (19th, Lincoln). 3. Bruce Harting (Ed White). 4. Riley Girgis (Middleburg).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Brandon Walls (Gulf Breeze).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Deagan Kilpatrick (Choctaw), Hunter Brown (Chiles), Cody Smith (Creekside).
First-round match worth price of admission: Kilpatrick v. Brett Millard (Columbia).
My too-short take: Rodriquez should dominate the bracket from start to finish this weekend, and will come out from the bottom half. Hendley should be the solid favorite on the top half, but he could get a pair of decent District 3 tests along the way.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Harting moves on through, with a closer win over Walls in the quarters.
Second quarter: Hendley moves on through, with a closer win over Girgis in the quarters.
Third quarter: Rodriquez moves on through, with a dominant win over Kilpatrick in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Smith moves on through, with a closer win over Brown in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Julian Villegas (Ponte Vedra – bye), Vincent DeLeo (Bartram Trail), Millard, Raequan Staples (Englewood). Staples could have a challenge from Niceville’s Grace Moore, but the other contested matches should end in decisive wins.
WB round 2 projected: Brown, Kilpatrick, Girgis, Walls. Kilpatrick and DeLeo should be very close, but the other three should be solid wins, if not decisive ones.
WB quarters projected: Brown, Girgis. Brown pinned Kilpatrick a month ago at Timberwolf Duals, Girgis should win a close dual against Walls.
Semis/blood round: Hendley will have a battle on his hands with Harting in the semis, or should at least, but I would expect Rodriquez to win decisively in the bottom half. Harting, with states on the line, will have experience on his side in the top half of the blood round, while Girgis should push past Smith with a closer if not solid win in the bottom half.
113: 1. Shaun Culbreth (4th, Matanzas). 2. Mark Munroe (5th, Lincoln). 3. Gabe Guzman (9th, Ridgeview). 4. David Tambula (Choctaw).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Davon Bailey (17th, Orange Park).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Atticus Waters (Pace), Michael Moore (Bartram Trail), Noah Tritz (Niceville).
First-round match worth price of admission: Moore v. Tritz. Both should get out to Saturday.
My too-short take: Culbreth, also, should be in control of this bracket through each round; the bottom-half finalist should get more of a test, with a potential Munroe-Guzman semifinal looking pretty competitive.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Tambula moves on through, with a solid win over Leon’s Lukas McKinney in the quarters.
Second quarter: Culbreth moves on through, with a decisive win over Bailey in the quarters.
Third quarter: Munroe moves on through, with a decisive win over Waters in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Guzman moves on through, with a decisive win over Moore in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Andrew Feek (Creekside), Max Kronlage (Gulf Breeze), Michael Stephens (Ponte Vedra), Tritz (bye). All three contested matches should end in decisive wins.
WB round 2 projected: Moore, Waters, Bailey, Tritz. Moore and Bailey should win decisively, Waters solidly, Tritz may have a close match with McKinney, could even go the other way.
WB quarters projected: Waters, Bailey. Waters should win a closer match in the top half, Bailey should take a solid win in the bottom half.
Semis/blood round: Culbreth should win decisively over Tambula in the top-half semi, while Munroe should win a close decision over Guzman in the bottom half. Tambula had a 9-3 district-final win in hand over Waters, and should take a solid win in the top half of the blood round. Guzman and Bailey went 6-4 in the District 3 finals, and I think Guzman might open up a little more with states on the line, for a closer victory.
120: 1. Derrick Lancero (Pace). 2. Ikeon Myles (14th, Lincoln). 3. Colin Brown (Creekside). 4. Brandon Mallin (Ft Walton Beach).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Olufemi Egberongbe (Chiles), Trevor Tagarelli (Bartram Trail), Ricardo Rivera-Resto (Englewood).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Ethan Goodman (20th, Matanzas).
First-round match worth price of admission: Brown v. Thomas Greene (Columbia). Winner has a better-than-average chance to get out.
My too-short take: Wild bracket, wide-open. Perhaps the most wide-open of the weight classes I’ve previewed so far. There’s no clear favorite, there are OK arguments to be made for seven kids to win the whole thing.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Lancero moves on through, with a close win over Brown in the quarters.
Second quarter: Egberongbe moves on through, with a solid win over Rivera-Resto in the quarters.
Third quarter: Myles moves on through, with a decisive win over Tate’s David Luckey in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Goodman moves on through, with a very close win over Mallin in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Greene (bye), Tagarelli, Clay Propes (Ridgeview), Brennan Kade (Gainesville). All should be solid wins in the contested matches.
WB round 2 projected: Mallin, Tagarelli, Rivera-Resto, Brown. Mallin/Greene is interesting (winner could get out), Tagarelli/Luckey should be close, Brown and Rivera-Resto should take solid wins.
WB quarters projected: Mallin, Brown. Schedule and experience will carry both to solid wins.
Semis/blood round: Lancero should win a close top-half semi over Egberongbe, while Myles should do the same over Goodman in the bottom half (it was 5-4 Myles in the region final at state duals). Mallin wins a very tight top-half blood round matchup, while Brown and Goodman face off one last time with states on the line. Both have wins, either one has proven the ability to push past the other. Really a complete tossup.
126: 1. Ian McGuigan (9th, Columbia). 2. Kelly Scanlon (Gulf Breeze). 3. Tyler Tran (Pace). 4. Gavin Riccobono (12th, Nease).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): CJ Sexton (Creekside), Caleb Bushong (Lincoln), Weston Burbidge (Ft Walton Beach).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Caleb Bower (Matanzas).
First-round match worth price of admission: Tran v. Riccobono.
My too-short take: Here’s another bracket where there’s six kids who could contend for the title; in my mind, McGuigan is just a bit better than the rest of the group, with a lot of District 1 kids chasing. The districts were pretty crazy at this weight last week, and I think they settle out a bit this week.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Scanlon moves on through, with a solid win over Bushong in the quarters.
Second quarter: Burbidge moves on through, with a solid win over Chiles’ Alex Adkins in the quarters.
Third quarter: McGuigan moves on through, with a closer win over Tran in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Bower moves on through, with a decisive win over Ridgeview’s Shawn Tahir in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Sexton, Jerry Gomer (11th, Bartram Trail), Riccobono (bye), Jay Pinto (Niceville). Sexton, Gomer and Pinto should all win decisively.
WB round 2 projected: Sexton, Tran, Riccobono, Bushong. Sexton and Riccobono should win solid decisions, while Tran and Bushong should win close matches.
WB quarters projected: Tran, Riccobono. Tran should win a closer decision, while Riccobono should win solidly in the bottom half.
Semis/blood round: Scanlon should win by a solid decision over Burbidge in a matchup of District 1 rivals, while McGuigan takes a closer decision over Bower in the bottom half. Tran overcomes his district rival in the top half of the blood round with a close win, while Riccobono also overcomes a district rival with a closer decision.
132: 1. Nicholas Vugman (6th, Bartram Trail). 2. Lawrence Russo (5th, Matanzas). 3. Alex McGuigan (13th, Columbia). 4. Dean Ganci (18th, Orange Park).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Ethan Billhimer (16th, Pace), Gabe Galloza (St Augustine), Jimmy Martin (Lincoln).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Michael Walls (Gulf Breeze).
First-round match worth price of admission: Galloza v. Martin. Both should be Saturday qualifiers.
My too-short take: Pretty sure we’ll see a District 4 finals recap, and the recency pick is to take Russo, with his win last week, but the chalk pick is Vugman, with a third at states last year. It’s going to be a tremendous final either way; last week was a one-point decision in Russo’s favor.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Vugman moves on through, with a closer win over Billhimer in the quarters.
Second quarter: Ganci moves on through, with a solid win over Galloza in the quarters.
Third quarter: McGuigan moves on through, with a solid win over Englewood’s Dairo Guerra in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Russo moves on through, with a solid win over Walls in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Mitchell Monk (Chiles), Martin, Michael Galiani (Creekside), Jorge Ramirez (Ed White). Monk should win solidly, but the others should all be closer decisions.
WB round 2 projected: Walls, Martin, Galloza, Billhimer. Billhimer should have a dominant win, Walls and Galloza should have solid wins, and Martin takes a very close decision over Guerra (could go the either way on it without too much argument).
WB quarters projected: Walls, Billhimer. Walls and Billhimer should both take solid wins at this point.
Semis/blood round: Vugman should take a solid win over Ganci in the top half semis, while Russo wins close over McGuigan in the bottom half. I think Ganci will take a closer win over Walls in the top half of the blood round, and it’s an absolute tossup between McGuigan and Billhimer in the bottom half.
138: 1. Storm Mercado (11th, Middleburg). 2. Cameron Broughton (13th, Orange Park). 3. Josh Bower (14th, Matanzas). 4. Matthew Arango (16th, Columbia).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Keane Creager (19th, Niceville); Lynden North (Englewood).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Dylan Lawrence (Gulf Breeze), Reed Waterson (Lincoln).
First-round match worth price of admission: Watterson v. Seth O’Gara (Pace).
My too-short take: Kind of going chalk here, which is a bit of an odd flex for this region, which has already had plenty of wildness just in the lowers. Mercado appears to be on a roll, though, with a 9-2 win over Broughton last weekend at districts. The group might be more even than I think, as it plays out, but we’ll have to see tomorrow.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Broughton moves on through, with a close win over Creager in the quarters.
Second quarter: Arango moves on through, with a closer win over North in the quarters.
Third quarter: Mercado moves on through, with a closer win over Lawrence in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Bower moves on through, with a closer win over Watterson in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Joseph Governara (Bartram Trail), Jake Summers (Creekside), Alex De Almeida (Ponte Vedra), O’Gara. All should be solid wins, DeAlmeida may be closer with Chiles’ Andrew Mullins.
WB round 2 projected: Watterson, Lawrence, North, Creager. Creager may win decisively (if districts were any indicator), the others solidly.
WB quarters projected: Lawrence, Creager. Lawrence will have a battle in the top half with Watterson, could go either way, while Creager’s experience should lead to a closer win over North in the bottom half.
Semis/blood round: Broughton should overcome Arango in a close decision in the top half of the semis, while Mercado wins closer in the bottom half over Bower. Arango rallies in the top half for a close win over Lawrence in the blood round, while Bower pushes past Creager in a very close decision in the bottom half.
145: 1. Matt Ross (6th, Columbia). 7. Ian Eckert (7th, Matanzas). 3. Carlos Bogan (13th, Ft Walton Beach). 4. Ethan Baur (18th, Ponte Vedra).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): None.
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Chris Burch (16th, Middleburg); Calvin Malo (19th, Gulf Breeze); Jace White (20th, Lincoln); Joseph Cortez (Pace).
First-round match worth price of admission: White vs. Cortez in a matchup of two prospective Saturday qualifiers.
My too-short take: Going chalk again here, though this time, Ross and Eckert have clearly established themselves as the class of the field (they went overtime at Clay in consi round 4); Bogan, too, has won several tournaments this year, and will give Ross a strong push, as will perennial contender Burch to Eckert in the bottom half.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Bogan moves on through, with a solid win over Stanton’s Grant Kelsey in the quarters.
Second quarter: Ross moves on through, with a closer win over Baur in the quarters.
Third quarter: Burch moves on through, with a solid win over Malo in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Eckert moves on through, with a solid win over White in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Hayden Yanni (St Augustine), Malachi Santiago (Crestview), Ethan Eudy (Leon), White. All should be solid wins but for the third, where Eudy may be pushed hard by Creekside’s Hunter Brown.
WB round 2 projected: Cortez, Malo, Baur, White. Malo and Baur should win solidly, but I expect close wins for Cortez over Yanni and White over Kelsey.
WB quarters projected: Malo, Baur. Malo will be pushed, but should win close, where Baur takes a solid win in the bottom half.
Semis/blood round: Going to be a lot of scrambling between Ross and Bogan, in a match that could pile up the points; I expect a closer Ross win. Eckert’s strength will be difficult for Burch to overcome, but it should be close. Bogan should have enough left to take a solid win over Malo in the top half of the blood round, where Baur’s technique will allow him to prevail in a very close, tossup-y close, win over Burch in the bottom half.
152: 1. Kishma Davis (10th, Pace). 2. Elliott Crum (7th, Lincoln). 3. Jacob Satterfield (11th, Nease). 4. Bryce Williams (13th, Middleburg).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Obie Smith (Columbia), Noel Alicea (Matanzas).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Collin Lentz (15th, Niceville), Logan Myers (19th, Choctaw).
First-round match worth price of admission: Smith v. Kade Tsitos (St Augustine).
My too-short take: There’s some really good talent in this group that is not going to get out to states, one way or another, with up to five kids, I think, that can credibly battle for third or fourth. Davis has flown under the radar a bit this season, while Crum is going to get stiff challenges from the quarters forward (even his round 1 is no pushover). I’ve picked against him before — and been wrong before.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Davis moves on through, with a decisive win over Alicea in the quarters.
Second quarter: Williams moves on through, with a solid win over Smith in the quarters.
Third quarter: Crum moves on through, with a closer win over Myers in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Satterfield moves on through, with a closer win over Lentz in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Lonnie Sanders (Terry Parker), Caleb Tourgee (Ft Walton Beach), Reed Propes (Ridgeview).
WB round 2 projected: Lentz, Myers, Smith, Alicea. Lentz should have a dominant win, Myers a decisive one, Smith a closer one and Alicea a solid one.
WB quarters projected: Lentz, Smith. Lentz should have a solid one (if districts are any indicator), while Smith should win a closer one.
Semis/blood round: Davis takes a closer win in the top-half semi, while it’s razor-tight in the bottom half between Crum and Satterfield (tossup-y tight). Williams overcomes Lentz in a scramble for points in the blood round that ends up close, while Satterfield takes a solid win over Smith in the bottom half.
160: 1. Nate Golmon (2nd, Pace). 2. Tony Davis (8th, Lincoln). 3. Luis Parrales (13th, Bartram Trail). 4. Jaquenez Madison (Leon).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Kevonte Times (Chiles).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Jalen Hines (14th, Creekside); Sam Russo (17th, Matanzas); Ashley Saddler (Terry Parker).
First-round match worth price of admission: Hines v. Corban Ferguson (Ft Walton Beach). Might set a tone inside the bottom quarter of the bracket.
My too-short take: Only Rodriquez, so far, is as dominant within his bracket as Golmon will be in this one. He’ll probably have to go six minutes in the final, but I could see decisive wins in each of the four matches, three of them against — as projected — fellow state qualifiers.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Golmon moves on through, with a decisive win over Madison in the quarters.
Second quarter: Parrales moves on through, with a solid win over Times in the quarters.
Third quarter: Davis moves on through, with a solid win over Russo in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Hines moves on through, with a closer win over Saddler in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Carl Otero (Ed White), Sam Howard (Englewood), Daniel McDonal (Milton), Ferguson. All of them should be closer wins.
WB round 2 projected: Saddler, Russo, Times, Madison. Russo, Times and Madison should have solid wins in this round, Saddler might be closer against Otero.
WB quarters projected: Russo, Madison. Russo’s competitive schedule will see him through in a closer win over Saddler, while
Semis/blood round: Golmon takes a decisive win over Parrales in the top-half semi, while Davis has a solid if not decisive win over Hines in the bottom half. Parrales takes a solid win in the top half of the blood round over Russo, while Madison wins closer over Hines in the bottom half.
170: 1. Quenteen Robinson (4th, Matanzas). 2. Kyle McGill (9th, Chiles). 3. Jacob Campbell (5th, Orange Park). 4. Bronson Carter (16th, Gainesville).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Eddie Alexis (Ft Walton Beach), Jordan Mitchell (Englewood).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Andrew Collins (Lincoln), Paul Roberts (Choctaw).
First-round match worth price of admission: Collins v. Roberts.
My too-short take: I think your “final” is going to be staged in the semis; I can’t find a Campbell-Robinson matchup this year so far. They also did not face each other in the post-season run of last year. Very similar. Going to be one of the best semifinals of the day out at Chiles; I’m going to enjoy watching that one up close.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Alexis moves on through, with a closer win over Mitchell in the quarters.
Second quarter: McGill moves on through, with a solid win over Nease’s Kirill Kim in the quarters.
Third quarter: Campbell moves on through, with a solid win over Collins in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Robinson moves on through, with a closer win over Carter in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Jalani Stockton (Leon), Brody Andrews (Pace), Roberts, Matthew Murphy (Niceville). Roberts should have a decisive win, the others should be solid wins in favor of the projecteds.
WB round 2 projected: Carter, Collins, Roberts, Mitchell. Carter, Collins and Mitchell should win decisively, Roberts might win closer over Kim.
WB quarters projected: Carter, Mitchell. Carter should win decisively (if districts are any indication), Mitchell should win close.
Semis/blood round: McGill should be solidly favored in the top-half semis over Alexis, while expect all-out war between Robinson and Campbell in the bottom half. Carter should win solidly in the top half of the blood room, and whoever has to go to the bottom half of the blood round should win decisively (I have it as Campbell, but it’s really a tossup).
182: 1. Landon Dains (4th, Terry Parker). 2. John Gunther (11th, Pace). 3. Jacob Moore (5th, Orange Park). 4. Tanner Washburn (15th, Lincoln).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Ryan Murphy (St Augustine).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Kaleb Williams (Ft Walton Beach), Sean Ripley (Niceville), Troy Maritato (Ponte Vedra).
First-round match worth price of admission: Ripley v. Shawn Raggins (Columbia).
My too-short take: Dains has been looking for a quality test, and after a close win over Moore in the district finals, that test should continue against either Moore or Gunther, the winner of which (in the quarters) should make the final. Could see two unbeatens there, which is always a treat.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Gunther moves on through, with a close win over Moore in the quarters.
Second quarter: Washburn moves on through, with a closer win over Murphy in the quarters.
Third quarter: Dains moves on through, with a solid win over Ripley in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Williams moves on through, with a very close win over Maritato in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Gregory Moore (Matanzas), Austin Earle (Gulf Breeze), Raggins, Austin Wheeler (Chiles). Earle and Wheeler should win decisively, while Raggins and Moore should win close matches.
WB round 2 projected: Maritato, Ripley, Murphy, J. Moore. Moore and Maritato win decisively, Murphy solidly and Ripley closer.
WB quarters projected: Ripley, J. Moore. Ripley wins closer against Maritato in the top half, Moore wins closer against Murphy in the bottom half.
Semis/blood round: Gunther should win a closer match in the top-half semi, while Dains takes a solid if not decisive win over Williams in the bottom half. Washburn wins closer over Ripley in the top half of the blood round, while Moore does the same over Williams in the bottom half.
195: 1. Trey Chesser (7th, Creekside). 2. Wyatt Dillon (17th, Pace). 3. Azaya Purifoy (12th, Tate). 4. Julian Moore (Orange Park).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Charles Woo (Stanton), Julius Moreland (Columbia).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Jeremiah Brown (Lincoln), Patrick Adams (Ft Walton Beach).
First-round match worth price of admission: Dillon vs. Angel Rodriguez (Nease).
My too-short take: There’s a bit of open space in this bracket, but Chesser should be tops among the group, with the most experience among the better kids in the weight class. Dillon’s schedule should be enough to see him through on the bottom half.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Purifoy moves on through, with a solid win over Moreland in the quarters.
Second quarter: Chesser moves on through, with a decisive win over Woo in the quarters.
Third quarter: Dillon moves on through, with a closer win over Brown in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Moore moves on through, with a closer win over Adams in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Jarred Ball (Ed White), Aiden Savage (Choctaw), Rodriguez, Pete Grimm (Matanzas). Ball, Savage and Grimm should all win decisively, Rodriguez should win solidly.
WB round 2 projected: Adams, Brown, Woo, Moreland. Adams, Brown and Moreland all should win decisively, Woo should have a closer match in this round.
WB quarters projected: Brown, Woo. Brown and Woo should both take close decisions.
Semis/blood round: Chesser should take a solid win in the top half over Purifoy, while Dillon should at least win solidly, if not decisively, over Moore in the bottom half. Purifoy should in turn take a solid win in the top half of the blood round over Brown, while Moore should win decisively in the bottom half over Woo.
220: 1. Od’juan Whitfield (Ridgeview). 2. Kennard Madden (Crestview). 3. Clarke Hamilton (Bartram Trail). 4. Bryan McKnight (Creekside).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Zhaquez Griffin (Columbia), Wyatt Yown (Lincoln), Ben Sabella (Terry Parker).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Cecil Bermudez (Matanzas).
First-round match worth price of admission: Griffin v. Sabella.
My too-short take: Most wide-open weight class maybe in 2A, certainly for the region, with no state-ranked wrestlers in the group of 15 kids here. A hard-charging competitor with a good bit of momentum could run the table at this weight class this weekend. I can think of seven kids, in this weight this weekend, that would win the title, and not feel terribly surprised by their tournament runs.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Madden moves on through, with a closer win over Yown in the quarters.
Second quarter: Hamilton moves on through, with a closer win over Griffin in the quarters.
Third quarter: McKnight moves on through, with a solid win over Leon’s Josh Seabrooks in the quarters
Bottom quarter: Whitfield moves on through, with a closer win over Bermudez in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Larry McCrudy (Ed White – bye), Sabella, Kevin Burgess (Tate), Ramsey Kidder (Niceville). Kidder should win decisively, Sabella solidly, and Burgess should advance with a closer win.
WB round 2 projected: Bermudez, Sabella, Griffin, Yown. Bermudez, Griffin and Yown should all win decisively, while Sabella should take a solid win.
WB quarters projected: Bermudez, Griffin. Bermudez should take a solid win in the top half, while Griffin takes a tossup win over Yown that could go the other way.
Semis/blood round: Madden wins closer in the top-half semis over Hamilton, while Whitfield does the same over McKnight in the bottom half. In another tossup — if districts are any indication — we take chalk with Hamilton edging Bermudez in the top half of the blood round, while McKnight wins closer over Griffin in the bottom half.
285: 1. Darius Stanley (3rd, St Augustine). 2. Saul Storey (5th, Creekside). 3. Jonquille Rivers (14th, Lincoln). 4. Cam Goodenow (Pace).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Weston Tew (Crestview), Ryan Piersza (Bartram Trail), Chris Lands (Englewood), Gregory Milinkovic (Gainesville).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): None.
First-round match worth price of admission: Piersza v. Milinkovic.
My too-short take: We should see a rematch of the District 4 final, which might or might not be contested this go-round — it might depend on how much effort Storey had to expend to get there, and it might be decided to hold off one more week until states to finally settle things.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Storey moves on through, with a very close win over Tew in the quarters.
Second quarter: Piersza moves on through, with a closer win over Lands in the quarters.
Third quarter: Rivers moves on through, with a solid win over Gulf Breeze’s Cameron Anderson in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Stanley moves on through, with a solid win over Goodenow in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Sam Neely (Chiles – bye), Milinkovic (bye), Reese Sheehan (Orange Park), Marquis Walton (Terry Parker – bye). Sheehan should win solidly in this round.
WB round 2 projected: Goodenow, Milinkovic, Lands, Tew. Goodenow and Tew should win decisively, Milinkovic and Lands should take closer wins.
WB quarters projected: Goodenow, Tew. Both closer wins.
Semis/blood round: Storey should win decisively in the top-half semi over Piersza, while Stanley should win solidly, if not decisively, in the bottom half over Rivers. I think Goodenow wins solidly, if not decisively, over Piersza in the top half of the blood round. The bottom half blood-round match says the chalk pick is Rivers, but I will not be surprised if Tew ends up winning it.
All statewide rankings as created by Brant Parsons and as updated February 26.
Curious about what Brant thinks (after all, you might like his better)? Here’s links to his four 1A previews (they’re not all out yet, we’ll update our post to reflect):
2A-Region 1: https://www.orlandosentinel.com/sports/highschool/wrestling/os-sp-wrestling-region-preview-2a-1-2019-story.html
2A-Region 2: https://www.orlandosentinel.com/sports/highschool/wrestling/os-sp-wrestling-region-preview-2a-2-2019-story.html#nt=oft02a-2gp4
2A-Region 3: https://www.orlandosentinel.com/sports/highschool/wrestling/os-sp-wrestling-region-preview-2a-3-2019-story.html
2A-Region 4: https://www.orlandosentinel.com/sports/highschool/wrestling/os-sp-wrestling-region-preview-2a-4-2019-story.html#nt=oft02a-2gp4
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