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#RoadToTheShow: 1A-Region 1 Preview

1A-Region 1 preview

When & where: South Walton HS, Santa Rosa Beach. First session is set for noon Friday. Saturday’s first session is set for 10 a.m., finals usually begin at discretion of the tournament director and are most often slated for late-afternoon starts.
Team favorite/local outlook: Wakulla should leave the Gulfside with one more championship trophy under its belt, as region champs; the War Eagles have won regions before, but winning this year — with this tournament field — has been the goal from Day 1 at season’s end last year. I would project Clay and Florida High will battle it out for second. Clay has a deeper team and that might be enough to carry the Blue Devils back to second, but Florida High has firepower of its own, too. If you’re looking to round out a top five, look at Arnold, Bolles, Bishop Kenny, Suwannee, possibly Yulee and maybe Mosley as well.
Print brackets for this tournament here: REGION 1 BRACKETS

This preview will be somewhat different from the first two we did earlier this week since, for me, every kid in this tournament is local. We’ll break down each quadrant for all of the weight classes. You’ll actually see each pick at each round, with a quick comment on the round.

The key thing to remember: It’s not personal and it’s just an opinion at the moment. Prove me wrong. Or prove me right. I like either one. I’m not telling which one is better. You’ll have to figure that one out for yourself.

Matmen’s state qualifier predictions, sure to be wrong —

106: 1. Tazz Hampton (8th, Clay). 2. George Hernandez (10th, Wakulla). 3. Tanner Brockman (11th, Arnold). 4. Jacob Witt (14th, Bolles).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Joseph Jackson (16th, Episcopal) & DaQuan King (19th, Raines).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Yoamet Perez (Suwannee) & Cole Bell (Mosley).
First-round match worth price of admission: Perez v. Lucas Biddle (North Bay Haven).
My too-short take: Hampton has the experience to push through to his first region title and should emerge out of the bottom half. Hernandez and Brockman went 5-3 at Wakulla’s IBT, and I took the chalk pick, but a lot of people root for Brockman because of his backstory.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Brockman moves on through, with a win over King in the quarters. Could be very intense.
Second quarter: Hernandez moves on through, with a close win over Jackson in the quarters.
Third quarter: Hampton moves on through, with a decisive win over Perez in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Witt moves on through with a decisive win over Bell in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected winners: Ryan Mayer (Bishop Kenny – bye), Garrett Butler (West Nassau), Biddle, Jeremy Hector (Godby). Would not be surprised if Biddle and Hector win on the front, Butler has no cakewalk against William Carrel (Marianna).
WB round 2 projected: Bell, Perez, Jackson, King. Bell vs. Mayer probably the closest of the four.
WB quarters projected: Perez, Jackson. Bell could be a tough out, Jackson has a 13-8 win over King at Clay.
Semis/blood round: I mentioned Hernandez v. Brockman earlier, Hampton should move through against Witt (had a first-period fall over Witt at region duals). I think Brockman will be too much for Perez in the blood round, and Witt’s held the upper hand against Jackson — so far — as they meet in the bottom half of the blood round.

113: 1. Kyle Hopkins (2nd, Episcopal). 2. Emil Ganim (9th, Florida High). 3. Jackson Merrick (10th, Wakulla). 4. Jeremy Mahoney (8th, Fernandina Beach).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Neal Smith (13th, Marianna), Christian Villanueva (19th, Bishop Snyder) & Tristan Martinez (12th, Yulee).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Will Ashby (14th, Arnold).
First-round match worth price of admission: Merrick v. Villanueva. Two ranked kids in round 1.
My too-short take: Hopkins is the clear class of the field in the region; he’s on a mission after failing to get to states as a sophomore. Ganim and Mahoney don’t often meet; the last time they did was a year ago at regions in the quarters, when Ganim won by first-period fall.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Merrick moves on through, with a close win over Smith in the quarters.
Second quarter: Hopkins moves on through, with a decisive win over Martinez in the quarters.
Third quarter: Ganim moves on through, with a closer win over Ashby in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Mahoney moves on through, with a decisive win over Wewahitchka’s Conner Roberts in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected: Villanueva, Corban Cherry (Bay), Jacare Johnson (Westside), Lance Gardenhire (FSDB – bye). Cherry and Suwannee’s Bryson Green could be close, other two appear pretty straightforward.
WB round 2 projected: Villanueva, Ashby, Martinez, Smith. I’m intrigued by Roberts and the progress he’s made, but Villanueva’s size and experience will be tough to overcome.
WB quarters projected: Villanueva, Martinez. Good fight between Martinez and Smith, I would expect. Ashby might keep things close as well.
Semis/blood round: Hopkins will move through confidently against Merrick in the top half, and I mentioned Ganim-Mahoney earlier, but Mahoney has progressed a lot this year. Merrick’s experience will see him through in the top half of the blood round against Villanueva, and Mahoney has had the formula for success against Martinez for a season-plus now.

120: 1. Brooks Dyer (2nd, Florida High). 2. Timothy Jolicoeur (10th, Suwannee). 3. Nick Hejke (12th, Arnold). 4. Robert Iglesias (8th, Menendez).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Raymond Hatchman (11th, Wakulla), Josh Kumpf (Clay) & Reilly Gentges (Bishop Kenny).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Brendan Ferenchik (West Nassau).
First-round match worth price of admission: Jolicoeur v. Denny Vohs (Bolles), particularly if the mid-January Vohs returns to form.
My too-short take: There’s (at least) three kids that could emerge out of the top half, all three with even amounts of experience and pretty close to even amounts of ability. Dyer is the solid choice in the bottom half.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Hejke moves on through, with a very close win over Hatchman in the quarters.
Second quarter: Jolicoeur moves on through, with a close win over Kumpf in the quarters.
Third quarter: Dyer moves on through, with a decisive win over Ferenchik in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Iglesias moves on through, with a decisive win over Baker County’s Juan Torres in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected: Gentges, Colin Dutton (Rutherford), Dustin Arnold (Marianna), Orlando Trevino (North Bay Haven – bye). Dutton v. Vohs could be really tight, Gentges and Arnold should move on a bit more easily.
WB round 2 projected: Gentges, Ferenchik, Kumpf, Hatchman. Kumpf v. Arnold might be somewhat close, as might Ferenchik v. Dutton, but both Gentges and Hatchman will move through decisively.
WB quarters projected: Ferenchik, Hatchman. Ferenchik v. Gentges should be close, Hatchman should hold a significant edge over Kumpf.
Semis/blood round: Should be a good top half between Jolicoeur and Hejke, both of whom have state experience. Dyer should move through the bottom half decisively. Hejke might be a bit much for Ferenchik to overcome in the top half of the blood round, and I fully expect a battle between Iglesias and Hatchman in the bottom half.

126: 1. Matthew Owen (3rd, Wakulla). 2. Tyler Reeve (5th, Florida High). 3. Luke Davis (12th, Clay). 4. Jordan Ware (Suwannee).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Johnathan Harvey (9th, Wewahitchka), Bryce Bees (20th, Yulee), Seth Britton (15th, Westside) & Dalton Posick (Bolles).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Brian Zerr (16th, Bozeman).
First-round match worth price of admission: Reeve v. Bees and also Ware v. Britton. Winners could get out, losers will have a shot at going deep on Saturday.
My too-short take: I think the top two are pretty well set in their respective halves, but there could be up to seven kids with at least a puncher’s chance to get out in the third or fourth spots, and almost none of them would surprise me.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Reeve moves on, with a close win over Harvey in the quarters.
Second quarter: Ware moves on, with a close win over Posick in the quarters.
Third quarter: Owen moves on, with a solid win over Zerr in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Davis moves on, with a decisive win over Bishop Kenny’s Daniel Maher in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected: Bees, Britton, David Jackson (Baker County), Jacob Smith (19th, Arnold – bye). Wouldn’t surprise if Smith won in round 1. All of these should be pretty decisive victories.
WB round 2 projected: Bees, Zerr, Posick, Harvey. I’d expect all-out war between Zerr and Britton, but I think the other three move through pretty decisively.
WB quarters projected: Zerr, Posick. Both should be really great battles. Could see both go the other way.
Semis/blood round: Reeve is still ahead of Ware, if district results are any indicator, and I’ve been advised that things were close between Owen and Davis before a fall, but a fall is a fall, so I go with the chalk. That said, Ware’s athleticism (as long as his head’s right) makes him the choice in what should be a solid top half of the blood round, but Davis will be too much for Posick in the bottom half.

132: 1. Cale Hoskinson (8th, Clay). 2. Jaxon Sansouci (Suwannee). 3. Seth Weinthal (10th, South Walton). 4. Isaiah Wilson (Wakulla).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): None.
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Jaden Moseley (17th, Wewahitchka); Lonnie Bell (18th, Mosley); Bradly Kraai (West Nassau); Orion Duffy (Yulee); James Smith (Bradford).
First-round match worth price of admission: Bell v. Kraai or Moseley v. Duffy. How those go might determine a lot about the top half of the consi bracket.
My too-short take: After the top three of the top half, I think there’s some air where somebody needs to prove themselves capable of a deep run. The bottom half is very even, with really only two kids dropped back from the other six, all of whom could have good tournament runs.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Weinthal moves on, with a solid win over Wilson in the quarters.
Second quarter: Hoskinson moves on, with a decisive win over Godby’s Nigel Brown in the quarters.
Third quarter: Sansouci moves on, with a close win over Bell in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Smith moves on, with a close win over Duffy in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected: Brock Hinson (Bishop Kenny), Jarrett Ellis (Pedro Menendez), Kraai, Moseley. The Ellis v. Jeremiah O’Neal (Bay) match could be close, the others should be decisive.
WB round 2 projected: Duffy, Bell, Kraai, Wilson. Duffy over Hinson could be close, Wilson v. Moseley might be as well. Other two should be decisive.
WB quarters projected: Bell, Wilson. Duffy and Kraai could give challenges, but (particularly in Wilson’s case) schedule and room could matter a lot.
Semis/blood round: To be honest about it, the winner of the Weinthal/Hoskinson semi is your champ; the experience factor is just too great. Sansouci v. Smith is much more of a wildcard, as I have virtually no Bradford results to guide me. Weinthal will be too much for Bell in the top half of the blood round, and Wilson’s experience this season is going to be too much for Smith to overcome as well.

138: 1. Ethan Pickren (3rd, South Walton). 2. Chase Roberts (15th, Wakulla). 3. Dennis Ganim (14th, Florida High). 4. Andrew McGowan (17th, Clay).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Aston Ricks (19th, Yulee); John Schloth (Bishop Kenny).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Griffin Hebert (8th, Arnold); Julian Morris (Bolles).
First-round match worth price of admission: Roberts v. Jonathan Griffin (Mosley).
My too-short take: Pickren will dominate every part of the bracket from round 1 to final. There’s three kids that could come out of the bottom half and would not surprise me. We’ll have to see what is the best advantage, experience, tradition, schedule or room.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Pickren moves on, with a dominant win over Ricks in the quarters.
Second quarter: Ganim moves on, with a decisive win over Schloth in the quarters.
Third quarter: McGowan moves on, with a very close win over Hebert in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Roberts moves on, with a solid win over Morris in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected: Jose Ruiz (Pedro Menendez – bye), Millikin, Tyson Musgrove (Suwannee), Griffin. Millikin and Griffin should win decisively, Musgrove might get challenge from Wolfson’s Hays Lewallen.
WB round 2 projected: Morris, Hebert, Schloth, Ricks. Ricks v. Griffin could be close, and Schloth/Musgrove might be.
WB quarters projected: Hebert, Ricks. Both should have solid, if not decisive wins.
Semis/blood round: Pickren will be too strong for Ganim in the top-half semi, and while McGowan is on a great closing run, I think Roberts’ experience will see him through in a tight bottom-half semi. Ganim, I think, will edge Hebert in the top half of the blood round, but it could go into sudden victory time or deeper. McGowan should have a close if not solid win in the bottom half.

145: 1. Noah Wilson (4th, Wakulla). 2. Max Metcalf (8th, Florida High). 3. Grant Stanish (13th, Clay). 4. Connor Spossey (11th, Pedro Menendez).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Reid Hampton (12th, Episcopal); Logan Gall (Mosley).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Jaquary Pratt (10th, Suwannee); Wyatt Kirkpatrick (Rocky Bayou).
First-round match worth price of admission: Pratt v. Alex Strain (South Walton).
My too-short take: Wilson should move through the top half of the bracket with some confidence. There’s more possibilities for upsets in the bottom half, but to me, at least, Metcalf is the clear choice.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Gall moves on, with a solid win over Yulee’s Jesse Johnson in the quarters.
Second quarter: Wilson moves on, with a solid win over Hampton in the quarters.
Third quarter: Stanish moves on, with a solid win over Pratt in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Metcalf moves on, with a closer win over Spossey in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected: Jeffrey Ashby (Bolles), Kyle Roper (Bay), Strain (bye), Kirkpatrick. All the contested matches should be decisive in favor of the winners.
WB round 2 projected: Spossey, Pratt, Hampton, Kirkpatrick. Hampton might get a close match from Strain, but the others should all win decisively.
WB quarters projected: Spossey, Hampton. Spossey should have a solid win, and Hampton should get through, but it could be close against Kirkpatrick.
Semis/blood round: Wilson should win decisively over Gall in the top-half semi, while it should be a fun contest between Metcalf and Stanish in the bottom half. Spossey will also be more than Gall can probably handle in the top half of the blood round, and Stanish should use his experience advantage to pull through for a solid win over Hampton in the bottom half.

152: 1. Terrell Williams (3rd, Suwannee). 2. Micah Perdue (9th, Florida High). 3. Joey Cusick (4th, Bishop Kenny). 4. Jackson Osteen (Wakulla).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Keivontie Logan (16th, Rutherford); Cameron Frison (20th, Wolfson) Jered Mosley (Clay) & Nick Kendrick (Arnold).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): None.
First-round match worth price of admission: Frison vs. Osteen. Winner probably gets out, as I have them meeting in the top half of the blood round as well.
My too-short take: The bottom-half semi (we went chalk, with Williams’ 6-4 win over Cusick at Clay determinative) should determine the champion, but it’s the top half of the bracket that has more overall ability. It will be a test for Perdue to push through all of it and reach the final as projected.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Osteen moves on, with a very close win over Logan in the quarters.
Second quarter: Perdue moves on, with a close win over Mosley in the quarters.
Third quarter: Williams moves on, with a decisive win over Fernandina Beach’s Jeremiah Giedrys in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Cusick moves on, with a dominant win over Mosley’s William Carmichael in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected: Frison, Kendrick, Wylie Debarr (Bozeman) & Madison Melton (Godby). Melton might get a push from West Nassau’s Taison Mullins, but the others should win solidly if not decisively.
WB round 2 projected: Frison, Kendrick, Mosley, Logan. Frison and perhaps Kendrick will have close matches, but Mosley should win solidly and Logan decisively.
WB quarters projected: Frison, Logan. Both will be close; I could see both Kendrick and Mosley making these go the other way.
Semis/blood round: Perdue should move through with a solid win over Osteen in the top half, as he did at districts, while Williams — as mentioned earlier — wins close. Osteen’s experience, room and competition level sees him through over Frison in the top half of the blood round, while Cusick wins dominantly in the bottom half.

160: 1. Andrew Slade (8th, Bishop Kenny). 2. Angelo Philpot (10th, Westside). 3. Requan Works (12th, West Nassau). 4. Cole Baggett (Wakulla).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Chase Maddox (South Walton).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Noah Perdue (13th, Florida High); Caleb Ward (Mosley); Christian Cosson (Marianna).
First-round match worth price of admission: Cosson v. Kaiman Clark (Episcopal).
My too-short take: Slade will get a test in the quarters, but otherwise should roll through to the final out of the top half. Philpot’s win over Works to take District 3 last week established him as a finals contender, but he’ll have a tough semi with Perdue.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Baggett moves on, with a close win over Maddox in the quarters.
Second quarter: Slade moves on, with a closer win over Works in the quarters.
Third quarter: Perdue moves on, with a closer win over Ward in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Philpot moves on, with a solid win over Cosson in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected: Wil Dorvilus (Clay), Zack Duncan (Rutherford), Rick Garcia-Bengochea (Bolles), Clark (bye). All three hould be at least solid to decisive wins.
WB round 2 projected: Cosson, Ward, Works, Maddox. All four should win solidly, Works should have a dominant win.
WB quarters projected: Ward, Works. Cosson will give a test to Ward in the top half, but Works should win solidly, if not decisively, in the bottom.
Semis/blood round: Slade should take a bonus point at least in the top half, and it could be a close semi in the bottom half. Ward will be a tough challenge for Baggett, but Baggett should be able to get through in the top half of the blood round, and I expect Works to win the third of his four consi-side wins with a solid win in the bottom half.

170: 1. Garrison Kovacs (8th, Mosley). 2. Harris Barton (10th, South Walton). 3. John Maddox (12th, Marianna). 4. Raynarde Thomas (18th, Raines).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Hayden Reeves (16th, Wakulla) & Jack Pyburn (Bolles).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Chauncy Riggsby (17th, Florida High) & Nolan Scheets (Bishop Kenny).
First-round match worth price of admission: Riggsby v. Maddox.
My too-short take: At least at districts, Kovacs established himself as the wrestler to beat at regions, but District 1 is very solid at this weight, with either Barton or Maddox getting out to the final and maybe the bottom-half guy winning this time around.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Kovacs moves on, with a decisive win over Bishop Snyder’s Kennan Wilder in the quarters.
Second quarter: Reeves moves on, with a closer win over Pyburn in the quarters.
Third quarter: Barton moves on, with a close win over Thomas in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Maddox moves on, with a solid win over Scheets in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected: David Chinchilla (FSDB – bye), Luca Fiannaca (Clay), Jose Irisarri (Suwannee – bye), Riggsby. Riggsby should win decisively, Fiannaca should win but it could be closer.
WB round 2 projected: Scheets, Thomas, Pyburn, Riggsby. Riggsby might get a test in this round, the others should all win decisively.
WB quarters projected: Thomas, Riggsby. Interesting stylistic clash in the top half but should be close, Riggsby should also get past Pyburn in a solid decision.
Semis/blood round: Kovacs will get pushed by Reeves in the top-half semi, and I expect all-out war between Barton and Maddox in the bottom half. Thomas might be a bit much for a freshman to handle in the top half of the blood round, while there’ll be another close match in the bottom half between Maddox and Riggsby.

182: 1. Andrew Annand (6th, Wakulla). 2. Nathan Manning (12th, Fernandina Beach). 3. Corey Davis (11th, Marianna). 4. Blaine Howard (18th, Suwannee).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Jamari Watson (17th, Raines), Almando Martinez (Clay), Ethan Asbury (Bolles).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Jake Bingham (Arnold), Esa Farah (Bishop Kenny).
First-round match worth price of admission: Howard v. Bingham.
My too-short take: Annand has been playing second fiddle for a couple of seasons now, but this year, he should be the solid favorite to roll through the bracket, particularly in the top half. The bottom half of the bracket is a bit lighter, with Manning having the experience and, apparently, the health to make a state run.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Davis moves on, with a solid win over Watson in the quarters.
Second quarter: Annand moves on, with a solid win over Asbury in the quarters.
Third quarter: Manning moves on, with a decisive win over Godby’s Julian Green in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Howard moves on, with a closer win over Farah in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected: Dane Litzinger (Pedro Menendez – bye), Almando Martinez (Clay), Ethan Cole (North Bay Haven – bye), Bingham. Martinez should win decisively, Bingham solidly.
WB round 2 projected: Farah, Martinez, Asbury, Bingham. Farah should win decisively, but the other matches all could be quite close.
WB quarters projected: Farah, Asbury. Both should be close wins.
Semis/blood round: Annand should have a solid win in the top half of the semis, while I think it will be very tight, perhaps sudden-victory tight, between Manning and Howard in the bottom half. Davis will be too much for Farah to overcome in the top half of the blood round, while Howard should get past Asbury with a closer decision.

195: 1. John Trevor Hinsey (3rd, Wakulla). 2. Xavier Stillgess (17th, Rutherford). 3. Tommy Graden (7th, Bishop Snyder). 4. Michael Crawford (9th, Yulee).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Jordan Bell (Clay).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Uriah Giedrys (Fernandina Beach), Jonah Mercer (18th, Marianna), Carter Payne (Pedro Menendez).
First-round match worth price of admission: Hinsey v. Giedrys.
My too-short take: There’s only 12 wrestlers in the bracket, but of the ones who are here, Hinsey is going to be the solid if not overwhelming favorite. He should get a solid match from Graden in the semis, but should move on as champ, although there could be a couple of different kids from the top half who could get out to the final.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Stillgess moves on, with a solid win over Bell in the quarters.
Second quarter: Crawford moves on, with a solid win over Bolles’ Kyle Coffindaffer in the quarters.
Third quarter: Hinsey moves on, with a solid win over Mercer in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Graden moves on, with a solid win over Payne in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected: Diego Duprey (Florida High), Robert Harrell (Godby), Giedrys, Alexus Heintzelman (Mosley), all with byes.
WB round 2 projected: Payne, Mercer, Giedrys, Bell. Giedrys should have a closer win, but the others should all win decisively.
WB quarters projected: Mercer, Bell. Mercer should win solidly, Bell might have a closer win.
Semis/blood round: Stillgess takes a nail-bitingly close win in the top half, while Hinsey wins closer against Graden in the bottom half. Crawford should win a close match over Mercer in the top half of the blood round, while Graden has a solid win in the bottom half.

220: 1. Ja’Tyren Walker (6th, Godby). 2. Slade Watkins (7th, Wakulla). 3. Joe Grelli (10th, Clay). 4. Freddy Dollison (Episcopal).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Bradley Durrance (12th, Yulee), Elton Rumph (17th, Rutherford).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Casey Peppers (18th, Arnold), David Adewale (Bolles).
First-round match worth price of admission: Durrance v. Billy Duchaj (13th, Suwannee); Watkins v. Robbie Elefterion (Fernandina Beach, 19th). The losers of these matches might not get past Friday night.
My too-short take: I project a District 2 rematch in the finals — and if so Katy bar the door, because that went to ultimate-tiebreaker last week at Suwannee. I just wonder how strong Walker would be at this point with a full season of wrestling under his belt. Lots of possibles for those 3rd and 4th spots, maybe as many as eight. The two that get them are going to have to step up and take them in the heat of the moment.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Watkins moves on, with a closer win over Rumph in the quarters.
Second quarter: Dollison moves on, with a close win over Durrance in the quarters.
Third quarter: Walker moves on, with a closer win over Peppers in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Grelli moves on, with a close win over Adewale in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected: Elefterion, Duchaj, Jakius Hunt (Westside), Logan Strickland (Mosley). All should win decisively.
WB round 2 projected: Adewale, Peppers, Durrance, Rumph. Top half matches should both be close, bottom half matches should be decisive wins.
WB quarters projected: Adewale, Durrance. Both very close. Both could easily go the other way.
Semis/blood round: Watkins wins a close match in the top-half semi, while Walker takes a solid victory in the bottom half. Dollison and Adewale reprise their District 4 final in the top half of the blood round, and Adewale does have wins in this rivalry too. Grelli and Durrance reprise their District 3 in the bottom half of the blood round.

285: 1. Darius Wilkins (2nd, Wakulla). 2. Jamon Goodwine (3rd, Raines). 3. Derrick Mosley (6th, Clay). 4. Ray Bolden (7th, Westside).
Dark horses (top half of bracket): Joshua Yarbrough (13th, Godby), Jonathan Heller (Bay), Grayson Pope (Yulee).
Dark horses (bottom half of bracket): Curtis Leggett (Bishop Kenny).
First-round match worth price of admission: Heller v. Pope. Winner could make the semis & blood round, loser could go two-and-out. Depends which Pope shows up, and his coach might agree with me.
My too-short take: Wilkins went 3-2 with Goodwine in the Clay semifinals three weeks ago, and I would project another classic struggle in the final. Not sure I see anybody else make the final, but there are several possibles for third and fourth. The top half of the consi bracket is going to be really intense.
Local outlook —
Top quarter: Pope moves on (assuming he wins in round 1, no sure or easy thing), with a solid win over Bolles’ Cam Neal in the quarters.
Second quarter: Goodwine moves on, with a closer win over Yarbrough in the quarters.
Third quarter: Wilkins moves on, with a closer win over Mosley in the quarters.
Bottom quarter: Bolden moves on, with a closer win over Leggett in the quarters.
WB round 1 projected: Heller (bye), Joseph Carey (Arnold), Roosevelt Williams (Marianna), Kyle Burden (Rocky Bayou – bye). Both contested matches should end in decisive wins.
WB round 2 projected: Leggett, Mosley, Yarbrough, Neal. Leggett, due to short season but impressive performance within it, is a complete wildcard, even more so than Pope might be. That match could go either way by fall. The others should be decisive in favor of the projecteds.
WB quarters projected: Mosley, Yarbrough. Both should be solid, if not decisive, wins.
Semis/blood round: Goodwine is too strong for Pope in the top half semi, and same goes for Wilkins in the bottom half, but Bolden should hang on a bit longer and perhaps force a closer six-minute match. Mosley, too, should push past the top half of the blood round against Pope, while Bolden should win a closer match against Yarbrough, but neither will be easy to accomplish.

All statewide rankings as created by Brant Parsons and as updated February 26.

Curious about what Brant thinks (after all, you might like his better)? Here’s links to his four 1A previews (they’re not all out yet, we’ll update our post to reflect):

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