Categories
#TURKEYNWRESTLING

#TurkeyNWrestling2020-21: 2A-District 2

If you’re reading this, you know. Never ever count Lincoln out.
And we’re not this year, either, after the Trojans reached the 2A state dual semis for the second straight year in 2019-20 and added two region titles to their trophy case.
This year’s group has as many as 10 regular contributors that saw significant starting time — and there are probably a few others — on that team a year ago.
Seniors Elijah Hendley (106 in 2019-20) and Wyatt Yown (182 last year), along with junior Cayden Bevis (160), all were state qualifiers in March, and they’ll be this year’s leaders within that cadre.
The one possible fly in the ointment is a sizable graduation loss to overcome. The Trojans graduated nine key seniors from last year’s team, including three state qualifiers in Jimmy Martin (113 last year), Tanner Washburn (195) and Tyler Moss (285). That may cause some leadership gaps that will need to be made up quickly.
Columbia’s biggest issue might be in intangibles, at least initially, as well. Losing five starters from last year’s team, four of them multi-year starters, and two of them state qualifiers in Lander-bound Ian (132) and Alex McGuigan (138), will be a blow.
But the Tigers have a solid backbone of returning talent, and that talent was part of a history-making district-title run last year.
Seniors Brett Millard (106 last year) and Obie Smith (152), along with junior Jaycob Jones (285), were all state qualifiers in March, and they could be joined by a couple more returners that were in the mix on Saturday this time round.
Mosley blew up my projection a year ago in a good way, and I shouldn’t be surprised if the Dolphins just might do that again this year. Mosley does have some graduation loss to overcome, particularly in the middle of the lineup, where they have to replace 2020 state qualifiers Jaylan Griffin (138 last year) and Logan Gall (145).
But the Dolphins do have as many as 12 wrestlers with significant starting experience last year, with junior Nick Hejke (132 last year, and a region champ) a returning state qualifier. Additionally, Hejke’s old Arnold teammate, Nick Kendrick, has moved over from the Marlins; last year, Kendrick was a 1A state qualifier at 152. IBTs will be a strength for Mosley.
I was surprised, a year ago, when Chiles was fifth at districts, but happily so when it turned around to take sixth at regions. A big group of returners will keep the Timberwolves in that vicinity once again, as they have as many as 13 possible key returners back. Leading that charge is senior Kyle McGill (3rd at states at 182 in March), plus fellow Kissimmee qualifiers in senior Olufemi Egberongbe (138 last year), junior Hunter Brown (113) and sophomore Garrett Marschka (106), plus several multi-year starters at other weights.
The Timberwolves do have some upper-weight concerns, with two June graduates in the uppers creating a partial depth issue up top, but the lower half of the lineup should be strong.
I’m thinking Middleburg has a decent chance to push upward in this very loaded district, even though I projected them in the same spot where they finished a year ago. The Broncos lost just two wrestlers from last year’s team and can bring back up to 13 key returners (plus a transfer). None of those returners made it to states, but the Broncos are still young yet and poised to get better.
Orange Park has the tradition and some talent to make this prediction very wrong by season’s end. The Raiders do have as many as 11 back with significant experience from last year, including senior and 2A state qualifier Wesley Carlisle (113 in March), plus the state’s top-ranked girls’ 195 in junior Andrea Smith (runnerup at girls’ state last year). But the Raiders also have a big graduation class to replace, including a pair of 2020 state placers in Cameron Broughton (5th at 145) and Jacob Moore (6th at 182). If Orange Park can recruit and keep kids in the lineup, they will be a threat.
Leon and Gainesville both had numbers issues a year ago, and with both looking at around half the number of key returners back compared to the rest of the district (up to five each for both teams). The Lions appear to be better-situated, with junior Nolan Zirgibel (126 in March) a returning state qualifier, but Leon had only one other returner win a match at regions last year. Gainesville has three post-season starters among its five returners, but no returning region qualifiers back.
Projected finish: 1. Lincoln. 2. Columbia. 3. Mosley. 4. Chiles. 5. Middleburg. 6. Orange Park. 7. Leon. 8. Gainesville.
CHILES (Tallahassee)
Coach: James Marschka, 16th year.
2019-20: 23-3 in duals. 8th at Capital City Classic, 5th at Gator Brawl, 3rd at Wakulla IBT.
Post-season stats (last 3 years): 2020 — Duals: District runnerup, region quarterfinalist; Traditional: District 5th, region 6th, T-23rd at states. 2019 — Duals: District 3rd; Traditional: District 3rd, 12th at region, T-50th at states. 2018 — Duals: District 4th; Traditional: District 4th, 25th at region.
Projected key returners (15+ matches or post-season experience last year, with 2019-20 weights): Garrett Marschka (sophomore, 44-9 at 106, district runnerup, region runnerup, 1-2 at states); Hunter Brown (junior, 42-10 at 113, district champ, region runnerup, 0-2 at states); Chance Newhouse (junior, 13-16 at 113/120, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Juan Plenge (junior, 8-16 at 120, 1 match from regions); Mattias Garrett (junior, 5-10 at 126, 1 match from regions); Alex Adkins (senior, 39-14 at 132, district 3rd, 2-2 at regions); Olufemi Egberongbe (senior, 39-14 at 138, district 3rd, region 4th, 0-2 at states); Preston Scoggins (junior, 20-17 at 138/145, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Andrew Mullins (junior, 28-19 at 145, 1 match from regions); Will Wiggins (senior, 22-10 at 160, 1 match from regions); Kyle McGill (senior, 48-4 at 182, district champ, region champ, state 3rd); Kadis Nafal (junior, 16-11 at 182, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Sterling Moon (sophomore, 2-4 at 285, district 4th, did not compete at regions).
Key losses (graduation): Kevonte Times (41-7 at 170, district runnerup, 1 match from states); Austin Wheeler (37-12 at 195, district runnerup, 1 match from states).
Matmen’s take: Chiles took a hit at the traditional district tournament last year, but survived it to accomplish its best region and state finishes in the past four seasons. Timberwolves lose two key starters in uppers, but should be just as solid this year.
COLUMBIA (Lake City)
Coach: Peter Whittington, 5th year.
2019-20: 22-4 in duals. 7th at Border Wars VII, 7th at Capital City Classic, 11th at Allstate Wildcat Invitational, 3rd at Gator Brawl, 9th at Flagler Rotary, 6th at Braves Invitational.
Post-season stats (last 3 years): 2020 — Duals: District 3rd; Traditional: District champ, region 4th, T-32nd at states. 2019 — Duals: District runnerup, region semifinalist; Traditional: District runnerup, region 8th, T-42nd at states. 2018 — Duals: District runnerup, region quarterfinalist; Traditional: District runnerup, region 5th, T-18th at states.
Projected key returners (15+ matches or post-season experience last year, with 2019-20 weights): Brett Millard (senior, 53-19 at 106, district 3rd, region 3rd, 1-2 at states); Jayden Thomas (sophomore, 12-19 at 120, district 4th, 0-2 at regions); Cooper Mote (sophomore, 24-22 at 126, district runnerup, 0-2 at regions); Alexander Ulloa (sophomore, 1-14 at 132, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Thomas Greene (junior, 40-15 at 145, district 3rd, 1-2 at regions); Obie Smith (senior, 52-12 at 152, district champ, region runnerup, 1-2 at states); Jesse Bragdon (junior, 10-13 at 160/170/182, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Joseph Rice (junior, 39-22 at 170, district champ, 1 match from states); Jaycob Jones (junior, 40-13 at 285, district runnerup, region 3rd, 0-2 at states).
Key losses (graduation): Ian McGuigan (55-11 at 132, district runnerup, region runnerup, 1-2 at states); Alex McGuigan (62-13 at 138, district champ, region champ, 1 match from state medal); Daveyon Brown (28-12 at 145, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Preston O’Quinn (44-20 at 160, district runnerup, 1-2 at regions); Jesse Braden (13-17 at 220, 1 match from regions).
Matmen’s take: Tigers’ lowlight was not moving on to region dual round, but they made up for it with traditional district title. This year’s group has more holes to fill, with five starters to replace, but will be in the mix once again for top spots.
GAINESVILLE
Coach: Simon Jee, 2nd year.
2019-20: 3-23 in duals reported to Matmen. 11th at Arlington Optimist, 17th at Ed Kilpatrick, 13th at Wakulla IBT.
Post-season stats (last 3 years): 2020 — Duals: Did not compete; Traditional: District 8th, 31st at region. 2019 — Duals: District 4th; Traditional: District 5th, T-21st at region. 2018 — Duals: District 3rd; Traditional: District 3rd, 18th at region, T-69th at states.
Projected key returners (15+ matches or post-season experience last year, with 2019-20 weights): Liam Moore (sophomore, 5-17* at 113, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Brennan Kade (junior, 23-15* at 126, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Zachary Collins (sophomore, 7-26 at 138, 0-2 at districts); William Marshall (senior, 10-14* at 160, 1 match from regions); Carlos Nelson (senior, 6-21 at 182, 1 match from regions).
Key losses (graduation): Nicholas Hanson (26-17 at 152, district 4th, 1-2 at regions); Logan Fernandez-Smith (15-14 at 170, 1 match from regions).
Matmen’s take: Not all of previous season’s returners came back in 2019-20; recruiting is a must for the Hurricanes, as both bookends need shoring up. There were small moments of success enjoyed, though, and entire program needs patience in rebuilding.
LEON (Tallahassee)
Coach: Charles Ringel, 18th year.
2019-20: 5-8 in duals. T-10th at Cam Brown Seminole Classic, 27th at Capital City Classic, 4th at Syrupmaker Invitational, 16th at Wakulla IBT.
Post-season stats (last 3 years): 2020 — Duals: District 5th; Traditional: District 7th, T-26th at region, T-62nd at states. 2019 — Duals: Did not compete; Traditional: District 4th, 17th at region, T-65th at states. 2018 — Duals: Did not compete; Traditional: District 5th, 22nd at region.
Projected key returners (15+ matches or post-season experience last year, with 2019-20 weights): Alex Crago (senior, 6-19 at 113, 1 match from regions); Nolan Zirgibel (junior, 22-6 at 126, district champ, region 4th, 0-2 at states); Hudson Large (senior, 6-15 at 138, 0-2 at districts); Tyson Meyer (sophomore, 3-5 at 160, 0-2 at districts); Josh Seabrooks (senior, 12-11 at 220, district runnerup, 1-2 at regions).
Key losses (graduation): Ethan Eudy (20-14 at 152, district 3rd, 0-2 at regions; injured).
Matmen’s take: Last year, the Lions needed bookend experience; this season, it’s the middle of the lineup that needs shoring up. Individual success rather than team is the likely trend, as Leon should return to states for the third year in a row.
LINCOLN (Tallahassee)
Coach: Mike Crowder, 26th year.
2019-20: 12-8 in duals. 2nd at Cam Brown Seminole Classic, 4th at Capital City Classic, 8th at Allstate Wildcat, 9th at Braves Invitational.
Post-season stats (last 3 years): 2020 — Duals: District champ, region champ, state semifinalist; Traditional: District runnerup, region champ, T-32nd at states. 2019 — Duals: District champ, region champ, state semifinalist; Traditional: District champ, region champ, T-33rd at states. 2019 — Duals: District champ, region finalist; Traditional: District champ, region runnerup, 26th at states.
Projected key returners (15+ matches or post-season experience last year, with 2019-20 weights): Elijah Hendley (senior, 40-12 at 106, district champ, region champ, 1 match from state medal); Wesley Suta (junior, 4-13 at 126, 1 match from regions); Mekhi Williams (junior, 6-20 at 132, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Zaire Fernanders-Jackson (sophomore, 3-13 at 132/138, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Mason Kirkland (senior, 5-16 at 145, 1 match from regions); Patrick Blanca (senior, 24-15 at 152, 1 match from regions); Cayden Bevis (junior, 26-16 at 160, district 3rd, region 4th, 1-2 at states); Wyatt Yown (senior, 28-18 at 182, district 3rd, region 3rd, 0-2 at states); Omarion LaRoach (junior, 17-16 at 220, district 3rd, 1-2 at regions); Nic Weaver (junior, 7-8 at 285, did not compete in post-season traditionals).
Key losses (graduation): Jimmy Martin (35-14 at 113, district runnerup, region champ, 0-2 at states); Adam Barnes (22-20 at 120, district runnerup, 1 match from states); Steven Leger (11-12 at 126/132, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Curtis Jones (11-20 at 138/145, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Luke Geiger (5-10 at 152, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Evan Taylor (10-15 at 160, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Andrew Collins (19-14 at 170, 1 match from regions); Tanner Washburn (39-9 at 195, district champ, region runnerup, 1-2 at states); Tyler Moss (39-6 at 285, district champ, region champ, 0-2 at states).
Matmen’s take: Lincoln lost a big group in 2019 and still were one of just four area teams to get to the state duals tournament all three years, plus win a region traditional title. Group lost earlier this year should not derail Trojans, either.
MIDDLEBURG
Coach: Richie Dusinberre, 5th year.
2019-20: 13-9 in duals. 16th at Keystone Memorial, 7th at Joe Bees Memorial, 17th at Milton-Winter, 9th at Wakulla IBT, 31st at Clay Rotary.
Post-season stats (last 3 years): 2020 — Duals: Did not compete; Traditional: District 6th, 22nd at region. 2019 — Duals: District 3 runnerup, region quarterfinalist; Traditional: District 3 5th, 11th at region, T-48th at states. 2018 — Duals: District 3 3rd; Traditional: District 3 3rd, 11th at region, T-50th at states.
Projected key returners (15+ matches or post-season experience last year, with 2019-20 weights): Caiden Berg (sophomore, 18-4 at 106/113, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Jeffrey Parker (sophomore, 18-11 at 113, district 3rd, 1 match from states); Riley Girgis (junior, 15-16 at 120, district 3rd, 1-2 at regions); Ryan Browning (sophomore, 11-20 at 126, district 4th, 0-2 at regions); Gabe Burch (senior, 7-25 at 132, district 4th, 1-2 at regions); Thomas Stokes (sophomore, 8-9 at 132, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Ephraim Long (junior, 15-13 at 138, 1 match from regions); Aden Thornton (sophomore, 18-14 at 145, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Michael Higginbotham (senior, 15-16 at 152, 0-2 at districts); Alex Nayfack (senior, 26-18 at 160, district 4th, 0-2 at regions); Jaden Lane (senior, 13-8 at 160/170, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Brayden Weaver (junior, 17-11 at 170, district 4th, 1-2 at regions); Nate Hill (sophomore, 5-24 at 220, 1 match from regions).
Key addition: Eliyah Cole (senior, 21-3 at 182, 1A-District 5 champ, 2-2 at 1A-Region 2; transferred from Keystone Heights).
Key losses (graduation or as noted): Dalton Falana (9-11 at 145, district 4th, 1-2 at regions); Ethan Larsen (17-13 at 182, did not compete in post-season traditionals; transferred to Clay).
Matmen’s take: 2020 marked the first year since 2011 that the Broncos did not have representation at the traditional state tournament. But graduation losses were less harmful than in the prior year, and Middleburg should bounce back behind good numbers.
MOSLEY (Lynn Haven)
Coach: John Winkler, 5th year.
2019-20: 6-7 in duals. 5th at Cam Brown Seminole Classic, 14th at Capital City Classic, 5th at The Bash, 3rd at Joe Bees Memorial, 5th at Gator Brawl, 2nd at George Mulligan Memorial, 9th at Clay Rotary.
Post-season stats (last 3 years): 2020 — Duals: Did not compete; Traditional: District 3rd, region 8th, T-41st at states. 2019 — Duals: 1A-District 1 T-3rd; Traditional: 1A-District 1 champ, 1A-Region 1 9th, T-45th at 1A states. 2018 — Duals: 1A-District 1 T-5th; Traditional: 1A-District 1 7th, 13th at 1A-Region 1, 36th at 1A states.
Projected key returners (15+ matches or post-season experience last year, with 2019-20 weights): Cole Bell (junior, 28-15 at 106, district 4th, 2-2 at regions); Bradley Pennington (sophomore, 11-24 at 113, 1 match from regions); Darius Mailhot (sophomore, 5-31 at 120, 1 match from regions); Dan Sanders (sophomore, 4-11 at 120, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Nick Hejke (junior, 54-9 at 132, district champ, region champ, 1 match from state medal); Dalton Kovacs (sophomore, 5-16 at 152/160, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Kaydon Lester (senior, 37-20 at 160, district champ, 1-2 at regions); Kenneth Green (senior, 6-10 at 160, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Noe Pena (senior, 39-23 at 170, district 3rd, 2-2 at regions); Peyton La Fountain (junior, 10-29 at 170/182, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Isaac Hall (senior, 19-31 at 182, district 4th, 1-2 at regions); Robert Wills (junior, 6-10 at 285, did not compete in post-season traditionals).
Key addition: Nick Kendrick (senior, 51-18 at 152, 1A-District 1 champ, 1A-Region 1 4th, 0-2 at 1A states; transferred from Arnold).
Key losses (graduation): Jaylan Griffin (40-13 at 138, district runnerup, region runnerup, 0-2 at states); Carter Wascom (14-13 at 138, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Logan Gall (50-11 at 145, district runnerup, region 4th, 1-2 at states); Logan Strickland (21-21 at 220, district 4th, 0-2 at regions).
Matmen’s take: Dolphins did solid work in taking third in coverage area’s deepest district and a top-eight finish at regions, thanks to recruiting needed lowers. This year, it’s more about tweaking than revamping, and that should be an easier task.
ORANGE PARK
Coach: Justin Daniels, 6th year.
2019-20: 27-17 in duals. T-41st at Girls’ State.
Post-season stats (last 3 years): 2020 — Duals: District 4th; Traditional: District 4th, region 7th, T-18th at states. 2019 — Duals: District 3 champ, region quarterfinalist; Traditional: District 3 champ, 6th at region, 16th at states. 2018 — Duals: District 3 runnerup, region quarterfinalist; Traditional: District 3 runnerup, 14th at region, T-39th at states.
Projected key returners (15+ matches or post-season experience last year, with 2019-20 weights): Wesley Carlisle (senior, 30-24 at 113, district 4th, region 4th, 0-2 at states); Davon Bailey (senior, 38-7 at 120, district champ, 2-2 at regions); Durrionte Myrick (sophomore, 25-19 at 126, district 3rd, 0-2 at regions); Cevan Broughton (junior, 13-28 at 132, 1 match from regions); Trevion Sermons (sophomore, 28-17 at 152, 1 match from regions); Julian Moore (junior, 14-4 at 170/195, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Jose Indio (senior, 12-6 at 182/195, did not compete in post-season traditionals); Geoffrey Delice (junior, 3-11 at 195, district 4th, 0-2 at regions); Andrea Smith (junior, 11-4 at 195, girls’ state runnerup); Reese Sheehan (senior, 16-12 at 285, district 3rd, 2-2 at regions); Jonothan Garcia (senior, 7-8 at 285, did not compete in post-season traditionals).
Key losses (graduation): Yamilie Lopez (18-26 at 106, 0-2 at girls’ state); Vincent Walker (18-16 at 138, region 4th, 1-2 at regions); Cameron Broughton (52-3 at 145, district champ, region champ, state 5th); William Evans (12-28 at 160, 0-2 at districts); Jacob Moore (43-6 at 182, district runnerup, region runnerup, state 6th); James McArthur (39-10 at 220, district champ, 1-2 at regions).
Matmen’s take: Up-and-down year for Raiders last year, who had to win an exclusively-duals schedule with a short-handed lineup. Graduation took a heavier toll than in the previous year as well. Keeping this year’s returners in the lineup will be critical.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s