So we’re going to try to be more transparent this year.
Lots of folks want to SEE our picks — and either breathe a sigh of relief or laugh at them, your mileage may vary — but what we have not done too often is EXPOSE them after the fact.
This year, we’re going to try to do better with that.
So, here’s our “morning after” review of 1A-District 5, where we’ll show you what went right, what went wrong, and what went sideways. You decide, as more sets of predictions come out as soon as tonight at 9 p.m. (ET), whether we know what we’re doing.
And let us know. Because we’re not always sure we know what we’re doing.
Predicted: 1. Palatka. 2. Atlantic. 3. Pedro Menendez. 4. Keystone Heights. 5. Lake Weir.
Actual: 1. Palatka. 2. Pedro Menendez. 3. Atlantic. 4. Keystone Heights. 5. Lake Weir.
More or less, we had a handle on this. Pedro Menendez sent up 12 kids for districts; I could be wrong, and my recordkeeping is still mired in Week 7, where it will stay until after states most likely, but I don’t recall the Falcons sending out 12 at any competition this year.
Hey, we got this
113: We got the top two picks correctly ordered, although we did think there was a potential for there to be three wrestlers at this weight.
138: We got the top three picks correctly ordered (accounting for the fact that Keystone had two girls with appearances at this weight).
145: We sent four names out and we got them all in the correct order. That was pretty rare, for us to get all four region picks right.
220: We got the top two picks correctly ordered, and had we known where Keystone was going to weigh Adams in, we would have had the top three right as well.
Do we got this?
106: Our champion pick was right, and we had the right number of competitors in the bracket, but we thought it might be Atlantic, and not Menendez, to have a 6-pounder.
120: We only had one wrestler at this weight; as it turned out, there were no wrestlers at this weight.
126: We had the three correct wrestlers, but we did not have the right order, as Pinyan avenged his district-duals loss to McCrystal on Wednesday.
132: Same as at 126, mostly, where we had the top three names in general correct, but I didn’t expect a fall from Menendez’s Smith in the semis. I also didn’t expect Keystone to have somebody at 32; my likelier choice, had I put somebody here, would have been one of the two girls that I’ve seen at 138 for the Indians.
152: We had three of the four qualifiers right and we did have a Menendez qualifier move on, but the one we chose at this weight made it out at 160. Through the stats I’ve input into team records so far, we didn’t have Whitty on our radar (that was kind of a thing with the Falcons).
285: We had the first two picks correct, and I probably would have put Adams third had I known he was going heavy, but I didn’t have the Menendez heavy on my radar.
Yeah, mistakes were made
160: Well, we got the right school at least winning. We didn’t know Lafferty was hurt, and we would have had somebody else there ahead of Carreras, whom we projected at 182. We had Atlantic’s Anderson at this weight, BUT WE DID NOTE that he and 170 teammate Arcieri could bump up. Which they did. If I’d know the three that weighed in at 160, I would have picked Wingate to win it, so I still would have beein incorrect.
170: See previous paragraph about Anderson; we were right about Menendez being second but with the wrong kid and had Washington and Williams in the correct spots.
182: See earlier paragraph about Arcieri; but we had Pickles winning 195 and I don’t have results put into my season records about him at 82. Am sure they will eventually get entered.
195: We had Litzinger winning 182 and had we known he was at 95, would probably have still picked him to win, so Raab proved me wrong twice, both in beating Wyman in the semi and again in the final.