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DISTRICT IBTS

Matmen Don’t Know: 1A-District 1

So we’re going to try to be more transparent this year.

Lots of folks want to SEE our picks — and either breathe a sigh of relief or laugh at them, your mileage may vary — but what we have not done too often is EXPOSE them after the fact.

This year, we’re going to try to do better with that.

So, here’s our “afternoon after” review of 1A-District 1, where we’ll show you what went right, what went wrong, and what went sideways. You decide, as our final sets of district predictions come out tonight at 9 p.m. (ET), whether we know what we’re doing.

And let us know. Because we’re not always sure we know what we’re doing.

Here’s the brackets in case you want to refer back to them, and here’s our recap we wrote this morning.

Team
Predicted: 1. South Walton. 2. Rutherford. 3. North Bay Haven. 4. Rocky Bayou Christian. 5. Arnold. 6. Bay. 7. Bozeman. 8. Wewahitchka.
Actual: 1. South Walton. 2. Rutherford. 3. Rocky Bayou Christian. 4. Arnold. 5. Bay. 6. North Bay Haven. 7. Wewahitchka. 8. Bozeman.

Mostly we got this right. Top two teams were right. The order of teams, outside of one, was mostly right. Got to give credit to the hosts, despite no individual champs and fewer wrestlers in the lineup, to not finish eighth. I have said many, many times, if you give Wewa a full lineup, that district will have a battle on its hands from the Gators. Now for the one glaring miss. I think I was still a year early on North Bay Haven. But this is a team you need to be watching in the next year or two.

Individual

Yeah, we got this

182: I fully confess to kinda-sorta-maybe cheating here. Yes, we got the finalists right, and in the right order. Yes, we got the correct kids moving on as region qualifiers out of the consis, but we had the 3-4 flip-flopped. The only reason I’m saying this is “correct” is that the seeding was with me on this and “our” projected third injury-defaulted except in the consi semis. (TBF she’s also trying to defend a girls’ state title).
195: OK, you have to give me this one. Four-for-four finally. Really looking forward to seeing Mercado this weekend. I mean, he already has a win in hand over a senior I’d project to go out to Kissimmee, so…but this will be a key experience weekend for him.

Do we got this?

106: We got the top two picks right, and I’m going to go straight to the source on Friday to get our projected champ’s spelling accurate once and for all. With Wewa having so many options at 6 and 13, I really was a little unsure on who they’d send up, but I got it right. My projected third did match the seeded third and my fourth was either injured or lost his wrestle-off to the actual 3rd.
113: We had the correct champion at this weight, and it was a relief, because we hadn’t seen him for a little while. Our 2 and 3 were seeded the opposite way, and the seeding was right, my picks were flip-flopped. I did not have the actual 4th in my notes, to be honest, and he majored my projected fourth in the consi semis.
120: Kinda the same situation as at 113. We had the correct champion (I was pretty sure on this one), and the seeding was correct at 2-3 compared to my picks (Coaches knowing more than me, how about that). My projected fourth was slotted sixth, and the coaches’ bracketing was correct, but the actual 4th was in my notes at least.
126: I had the right four kids, but after the champion — who I worried might wind up going to 20 — the order was off. The seeding was right on the runnerup, although my projected runnerup went 7-5 with him, and my projection and the seeds matched on the eventual 3rd, who wrestled above his seed. Prove us wrong.
145: We had the correct champion here and the actual third we had projected for third…but at 152, not this weight. Our projected runnerup did not weigh in. The actual runnerup was seeded second, so the seed was right and not our projected third. We had the actual 4th in notes, but not selected; our projected 4th did not weigh in.
152: We had the right four schools moving on, with the correct champion picked and the correct 4th picked. Our runnerup was seeded third and placed third, and the actual runnerup we had in notes, but not moving on, at 160.
170: Starting to worry if we’ll get any of these. The actual champ we picked correctly. Our runnerup wound up finishing actually 3rd, and the actual runnerup we had winning at 160 (on the whole, I get the move up). The actual 4th we had qualifying out, but at 160.
220: We had the top three kids picked to move on and all did, but the 2-3 were flipped from my projections (the seeding, again, was right). Props to the actual fourth from Bozeman, who drew the 2 seed in the quarters and then pinned my projected fourth in the consi semis.
285: Not a bad job by me here, with the top 3 picked and in order (had I not seen Gator Brawl too closely I would not have picked the actual champ, who was seeded third). My fourth wound up sixth; the actual 4th wound up pinning him in the quarters. Prove me wrong, Wewa!

Yeah, mistakes were made

132: Let’s start with what we got right. We had the correct kid at 4. We had the right order as between the runnerup and third, but we had projected them 1-2. Now, the champ. We didn’t have Black in our notes. We would not have have projected a quarterfinal win (the seeding didn’t either), or a semifinal win (over a 2020 state qualifier, to boot) or a finals win. Fourth? Maybe. Great tournament by Black.
138: Oyyyyy. I have no idea how I correctly called my projected 3rd and completely bunged up everything else around him. My projected champ did make the final, but was the 2 seed. The 1 seed, who won, was on my notes but I would have had him fifth. My projected 4th did not weigh in and the actual 4th I had going at 145.
160: Very little went right here. We had the actual champ in the finals at least, but the actual runnerup we had thought maybe wouldn’t compete or if he did, would be at 182. We had nothing — I’m not sure we even have results (there’s still five weeks to input) — on the actual 3rd, and the actual 4th we had getting out but at 170.

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