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#BraggingRights: 1A-Region 4

Cutting to the chase…

Today is our final region to analyze: 1A-Region 4. Which part of south Florida ruled the southern Atlantic? I went in with some preconceptions, some of which were confirmed, but there was some very interesting things happening there.

We’ll start with a count of the most points scored by district.

Thanks to to the 1-3 finish from Somerset Academy and Mater Lakes Academy, District 15 built an early lead that District 13’s Jensen Beach and American Heritage (Delray Beach), with their 2-4 finishes, cut into. The 13s had better depth, but ultimately the larger 15 group had just enough — about half a point per weight class — to take the win here.

  • District 15: 473 points
  • District 13: 465.5
  • District 14: 248
  • District 16: 173

How about state qualifiers?

Here, it was District 13 that carried the day, complicating our analysis. Sure, District 15’s six titles were the most in the region, but the 13s had more finalists (12-10) and had an equal amount of depth to the 15s (6 3rd, 4 4th for both).

  • District 13: 22 qualifiers (5 1st, 7 2nd, 6 3rd, 4 4th).
  • District 15: 20 qualifiers (6 1st 4 2nd, 6 3rd, 4 4th).
  • District 14: 9 qualifiers (3 1st, 3 2nd, 1 3rd, 2 4th).
  • District 16: 5 qualifiers (0 1st, 0 2nd, 1 3rd, 4 4th).

I also like to look at the depth each region has. One measuring indicator I use is to calculate the depth of each district by compiling the win-loss records of each district’s competitors. This was INCREDIBLY close. With one weight class to go, District 15 and 13 were separated by just one win. But, the 15s, thanks to a 1-2 finish from their ace heavies, were able to seal the deal.

  • District 15: 92-61 (60.13% win percentage)
  • District 13: 86-61 (58.50% win percentage)
  • District 14: 53-64
  • District 16: 46-91

While there’s certainly an argument for District 13 — which I would not have necessarily, for lack of a better term, expected, and kudos to them — District 15 holds a slight lead in 1A-Region 4.

106: True 4th — Matches Coral Shores’ Vincent Biondoletti (qualified 4th) against SLAM’s Jason Ramirez. That would be a rematch of the District 16 final, which Biondoletti won by second-period fall.
113: True 2nd — Runnerup Ryan Mooney (Jensen Beach) would face 3rd-place Matthew Velasco (Somerset Academy). No true 4th.
120: True 2nd — Runnerup Mathew Palermo (Cardinal Gibbons) would face 3rd-place Jewell Williams (Jensen Beach). No true 4th.
126: True 2nd — Runnerup Andrew DeSola (American Heritage, Delray Beach) would face 3rd-place Mater Lakes Academy’s Luis Arboleda. True 4th — Matches Somerset Academy’s Raymond Greene (qualified 4th) against American Heritage (Plantation)’s Armando Wisdom.
132: True 4th — Matches Jensen Beach’s Tyler Savastano (qualified 4th) against American Heritage (Plantation)’s Alexander Wisdom.
138: No true 2nd or 4th.
145: True 2nd — Runnerup Bas Diaz (Somerset Academy) would face 3rd-place Rafael Romero (American Heritage, Delray Beach). No true 4th.
152: True 2nd — Runnerup Omer Barak (American Heritage, Delray Beach) would face 3rd-place Tehran Piza (Jensen Beach). This would be a rematch of the District 13 final; Piza won that match by a 9-8 count. No true 4th.
160: True 2nd — Runnerup Bransen Byrd (Jensen Beach) would face 3rd-place Izac Martinez (Clewiston). That also was a rematch of the District 13 final; in that round, Byrd took a 5-3 decision. True 4th — Matches Cardinal Gibbons’ Daniel Korchensky (qualified 4th) against Mater Lakes Academy’s Jesse Diaz.
170: True 2nd — Runnerup Danny Diaz (Somerset Academy) would face 3rd-place Mater Lakes Academy’s Achilles Rocha. That’s a rematch of the District 15 final, in which Rocha won, 13-9. True 4th — Matches Jensen Beach’s Matt O’Hara (qualified 4th) against Cardinal Gibbons’ Richard Tauriello.
182: True 4th — Matches Mater Lakes Academy’s Matthew Cruanes (qualified 4th) against Cardinal Gibbons’ Austin Cooper.
195: No true 2nd or 4th.
220: True 2nd — Runnerup Andrew Burnette (Jensen Beach) would face 3rd-place Max Ryan (Key West). True 4th — Matches Mater Lakes Academy’s Branden Marrero (qualified 4th) against American Heritage (Plantation)’s Josh Hartman.
285: True 2nd — Runnerup Matthew Jimenez (Somerset Academy) would face 3rd-place Jertavis Black (Cardinal Gibbons). While we don’t have complete results on the two teams, they did meet in the first day of state duals, with Jimenez taking a 7-1 decision. True 4th — Matches Key West’s River Cutino-Lyda (qualified 4th) against SLAM’s Keven Kinsman, which would be a rematch of the District 16 final, in which Cutino-Lyda won by first-period fall.

So that’s it for the region series. If anybody wants a more detailed breakdown of the stats, either from regions or states, I’ll hang on to my notes for a bit. Just email me at the email address on the home page.

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#BraggingRights: 2A-Region 3

Cutting to the chase…

We’ve got just two more regions to go in our analysis of which district won each of the 12 region tournaments in Florida. Next up is Region 3 in 2A. Who’s the strongest? Punta Gorda? Ft Myers? Naples? We wanted to find out. The data told us that it was the Naples area, and District 12, that was the strongest, though District 10 did have one argument from a certain point of view.

We’ll start with a count of the most points scored by district.

The 1-2 punch of champion Palmetto Ridge and third-place Barron Collier was a compelling start for the 12s, but it was Golden Gate’s points that really put this race out of reach. Still, though, the margin was barely more than 1 point per region slot.

  • District 12: 515 points
  • District 10: 453.5
  • District 11: 386.5
  • District 9: 213

How about state qualifiers?

Here, the 12s pressed their advantage with a lot more gap compared to the rest of the region, as no district had more champs (six) or finalists (12). District 10 did have an equal amount of depth, with 10 3rds/4ths to match the 12s, but the gap in runners-up provided most of the space.

  • District 12: 22 qualifiers (6 1st, 6 2nd, 5 3rd, 5 4th).
  • District 10: 15 qualifiers (4 1st, 1 2nd, 6 3rd, 4 4th).
  • District 11: 13 qualifiers (3 1st, 5 2nd, 1 3rd, 4 4th).
  • District 9: 6 qualifiers (1 1st, 2 2nd, 2 3rd, 1 4th).

I also like to look at the depth each region has. One measuring indicator I use is to calculate the depth of each district by compiling the win-loss records of each district’s competitors. Here’s where District 10 can claim an argument, as the 10s had the most wins, and that with just one weight where it had an additional qualifier per FHSAA schematics. But the 12s had a better win percentage, and that’s what we primarily look at here.

  • District 12: 114-91 (55.61% win percentage)
  • District 10: 118-99 (54.38% win percentage)
  • District 11: 100-96
  • District 9: 60-106

District 12 carried the day in 2A-Region 3, but it got plenty of fight along the way.

Now, for the What Ifs. In MOST cases, there will be a true 4th; there would not be a true 2nd if the runnerup and 3rd-place wrestler met in the semis or quarters, that match would be determinative.

106: True 4th — Matches Cape Coral’s Richard Albert (qualified 4th) against Palmetto’s Zach Stolze.
113: True 4th — Matches Palmetto Ridge’s Bernardo Barnhart (qualified 4th) against Countryside’s Kaden Cartagena.
120: No true 2nd or 4th.
126: True 2nd — Runnerup Demetri Zertopoulis (Palmetto Ridge) would face 3rd-place Ethan Byrd (Barron Collier). That would be a rematch of the District 12 final, which Zertopoulis won by first-period fall. True 4th — Matches Ft Myers’ Nolan Nguyen (qualified 4th) against Dunbar’s Joshua Martinez. That’s a district finals rematch too, as Nguyen shut out Martinez, 8-0, to win District 11.
132: True 2nd — Runnerup John Vadyak (Ft Myers) would face 3rd-place Isaac Church (Charlotte). True 4th — Matches Barron Collier’s Grant Gappelberg (qualified 4th) against Naples’ Cole Henry. That was a rematch of the District 12 semis, in which Gappelberg took a 3-2 decision.
138: True 2nd — Runnerup Jaden Harrah (Island Coast) would face 3rd-place Leonard Feliciano (Palmetto Ridge). No true 4th.
145: True 4th — Matches Mariner’s Lance Crawford (qualified 4th) against Pinellas Park’s Cobin Crawford.
152: True 2nd — Runnerup Justin Cole (Cape Coral) would face 3rd-place Koen Hoffman (Port Charlotte). No true 4th.
160: True 2nd — Runnerup Jacob Holland (Braden River) would face 3rd-place Mack Koselke (Mariner). No true 4th.
170: True 2nd — Runnerup Cory Cannan (Barron Collier) would face 3rd-place Brian Burburija (Countryside). True 4th — Matches Palmetto Ridge’s Jacob Damas (qualified 4th) against Port Charlotte’s Grant Laballister.
182: True 2nd — Runnerup Gregorio Herrera (Palmetto Ridge) would face 3rd-place Cael Newton (Charlotte). While we don’t have comprehensive results on either of these powerhouse teams, they did meet at the first day of state duals, where Newton took a 7-4 victory. True 4th — Matches Countryside’s Nick Granata (qualified 4th) against Palmetto’s Ethan Bell.
195: True 2nd — Runnerup Antonio Petraglia (Palmetto Ridge) would face 3rd-place Okten Logue (Port Charlotte). True 4th — Matches Boca Ciega’s Jaden Fox-Harrington (qualified 4th) against Pinellas Park’s Benjamin Cash.
220: True 4th — Matches Charlotte’s Biaggio Frattarelli (qualified 4th) against Palmetto’s Yeidisson Santana. The district rivals did not meet in the District 10 tournament the previous week.
285: True 4th — Matches Cypress Lake’s Adam Larochelle (qualified 4th) against Osceola (Seminole)’s Miguel Tosado.

Next up — hopefully tomorrow — we will complete the #BraggingRights project with the final region, Region 4 in 1A.

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#BraggingRights: 2A-Region 2

Cutting to the chase…

We’ve got just two more regions to go in our analysis of which district won each of the 12 region tournaments in Florida. Next up is Region 2 in 2A. Which geographic area would win? Orlando area? Lakeland/Brandon? Tampa proper, or points north?

We’ll start with a count of the most points scored by district.

While three of the four districts in 2A-Region 2 had teams with 100+ points, the 2-3 punch of Harmony & Winter Springs generated more than three-quarters of District 5’s points, allowing the 5s to pull away from the others. It was still close, though, as the 5s’ margin of victory was a little less than one point per region slot.

  • District 5: 466 points.
  • District 6: 416.5
  • District 8: 361
  • District 7: 329

How about state qualifiers?

The race between Districts 5 and 6 was just as close in terms of region medals. The 6s wound up with the most champions (five) and finalists (10), but the 5s answered with just a little more depth. District 7, with four Tampa Jesuit champions, matched the 5s’ number of champs.

  • District 5: 18 qualifiers (4 1st, 5 2nd, 5 3rd, 4 4th).
  • District 6: 17 qualifiers (5 1st, 5 2nd, 4 3rd, 3 4th).
  • District 7: 12 qualifiers (4 1st, 2 2nd, 3 3rd, 3 4th).
  • District 8: 9 qualiifers (1 1st, 2 2nd, 2 3rd, 4 4th).

I also like to look at the depth each region has. One measuring indicator I use is to calculate the depth of each district by compiling the win-loss records of each district’s competitors. This was a very close race between the 5s and 6s through 160 (the 6s had a better win percentage through that weight class), but from 170 on up District 5 rolled up a 48-28 record, while the 6s — even with region champs at 170 and 220 — were 25-35.

  • District 5: 114-90
  • District 6: 88-91
  • District 7: 81-89 (47.65% win percentage)
  • District 8: 101-114 (46.98% win percentage).

While the lead for District 5 was quite narrow in terms of points scored and state qualifiers, the 5s had a substantially higher number of wins (the 6s can, and might, claim that they got more mileage out of the wins they had).

Now, for the What Ifs. In MOST cases, there will be a true 4th; there would not be a true 2nd if the runnerup and 3rd-place wrestler met in the semis or quarters, that match would be determinative.

106: No true 2nd or 4th.
113: True 2nd — Runnerup Jonathan Dominguez (Springstead) would face 3rd-place Danny Vargas (Tampa Jesuit). No true 4th.
120: True 2nd — Runnerup Alex Walker (Lake Gibson) would face 3rd-place Darrell Tabor (Brandon). That would be a rematch of the District 6 final, where Walker won by third-period fall. True 4th — Matches Tampa Jesuit’s Christopher Albo (qualified 4th) against Winter Springs’ Ryan Phillips.
126: True 2nd — Runnerup Brent McNichols (Harmony) would face 3rd-place Hayden Whidden (Lake Gibson). True 4th — River Ridge’s Dominick Smith (qualified 4th) would face Lecanto’s Diego Mendez in a rematch of the District 8 final, which Mendez won by a 1-0 count.
132: True 4th — Matches Gaither’s James Simpson (qualified 4th) against Edgewater’s Rocco Vargas.
138: True 2nd — Runnerup Fletcher Small (Harmony) would face third-place Riley Chapdelaine (Winter Springs) in a rematch of the District 5 final, which Small won by decision, 10-5. True 4th — Matches Springstead’s Joe Gallo (qualified 4th) against Pasco’s Jack Evans. That would also be a finals rematch, from District 8, which Gallo won by 5-0 decision.
145: True 4th — Matches Winter Springs’ Davis Deal (qualified 4th) against Gulf’s Dmytriy Snitko.
152: True 2nd — Runnerup Frank Diaz (Brandon) would face 3rd-place Hamzah Mohamad (Freedom, Tampa). True 4th — This is a tough one, because this would match up Winter Springs’ Elijah Penton (qualified 4th) against Pasco’s Savion Spaights. They’d met in the quarters, though, with Spaights winning by fall; fair play to Penton, though, for winning three decisions on the back to get back to the medal round.
160: True 2nd — Runnerup Harlan McCandless (Winter Springs) would face 3rd-place Frank Solorzano (Lake Gibson). True 4th — Matches Pasco’s Devin Jernigan (qualified 4th) against Hillsborough’s John Milian.
170: True 2nd — Runnerup Joe Burgess (Winter Springs) would face 3rd-place Will Jacobson (Harmony) in a rematch of the District 5 final, which Jacobson won by 13-8 decision. No true 4th.
182: True 4th — Matches River Ridge’s Aidan Benjamin (qualified 4th) against Lake Gibson’s Connor Hackett.
195: True 2nd — Runnerup Sebastian Riviere (Gaither) would face 3rd-place Amir Burgess (Pasco). No true 4th.
220: True 2nd — Runnerup Kyle Curl (Springstead) would face 3rd-place Cassidy Grubbs (Pasco) in a rematch of the District 8 final. Curl won that match with a 6-2 decision. True 4th — Matches Harmony’s Nelson Toro (qualified 4th) against Freedom, Tampa’s Trent Ifamilik.
285: True 4th — Matches Brandon’s Cedric Ellis (qualified 4th) against Fivay’s Jarod Scott.

Next up — time permitting this week — will be Region 3 in 2A, which will wrap up the 2A regions.

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#BraggingRights: 3A-Region 2

Cutting to the chase…

We’re three-quarters done with our analysis of which district won each of the 12 region tournaments in Florida. Next up is Region 2 in 3A. As the data worked itself out, it was District 8, with southwestern coastal teams like Riverdale, Manatee, Venice and North Port, carrying top honors.

We’ll start with a count of the most points scored by district.

District 8 didn’t put forward the individual team champion — that was region host Osceola, which scored nearly two-thirds of District 5’s points — but it did have the 2-4-6-7 teams contained in it, and none of the other districts had that kind of depth. The race for second, though, was very close, as just a little over one point per region slot separated second from fourth.

  • District 8: 580 points
  • District 7: 367
  • District 5: 312
  • District 6: 295.5

How about state qualifiers?

District 8 wasn’t quite as dominant in this region as the 16s were in Region 4, but the 8s did have the lion’s share of state qualifiers, bagging nearly half of them, with nearly half the finalists (13 of 28). Districts 7 and 5 each had the same number of champions (four each), but the 7s had a measurable amount of increased depth in terms of third- and fourth-place finishers in comparison to the other districts.

  • District 8: 26 qualifiers (5 1st, 8 2nd, 8 3rd, 5 4th).
  • District 7: 13 qualifiers (4 1st, 2 2nd, 3 3rd, 4 4th).
  • District 5: 9 qualifiers (4 1st, 2 2nd, 2 3rd, 1 4th).
  • District 6: 8 qualifiers (1 1st, 2 2nd, 1 3rd, 4 4th).

I also like to look at the depth each region has. One measuring indicator I use is to calculate the depth of each district by compiling the win-loss records of each district’s competitors. District 8 had surged out to a double-digit lead in total wins by 126, and that lead held up throughout the weight classes.

  • District 8: 132-86
  • District 7: 98-100
  • District 6: 86-107
  • District 5: 75-98

In 3A-Region 2, it was District 8 that ran the table.

Now, for the What Ifs. In MOST cases, there will be a true 4th; there would not be a true 2nd if the runnerup and 3rd-place wrestler met in the semis or quarters, that match would be determinative.

106: True 2nd — Runnerup Blane Taranto (Venice) would face 3rd-place Nathan Roche (Gulf Coast). This would be a rematch of the District 8 final, which Taranto won by an 11-7 count. True 4th — Matches Riverview’s Eliezer Torres (qualified 4th) against Strawberry Crest’s Josiah Ortiz. That would be a rematch of the District 6 final, which Torres won, 10-2.
113: True 4th — Matches Newsome’s Brayden Johnson (qualified 4th) against Bloomingdale’s Jeremiah Sawicky. In the District 6 final, Johnson won by second-period fall.
120: True 2nd — Runnerup Noah Wadle (Manatee) would face 3rd-place Bryce Taranto (Venice). In the District 8 final, Wadle won by a 5-1 decision. True 4th — Matches East Lake’s Kobe Litov (qualified 4th) against Palm Harbor University’s Conner Reeves. Litov won by 11-2 major over Reeves in the District 7 final.
126: True 2nd — Runnerup Nate Luders (Riverdale) would face 3rd-place Nicholas Romero (Riverview). True 4th — Matches Venice’s Gage Wiggins (qualified 4th) against Sickles’ Jeremiah Hunter.
132: True 4th — Matches Bloomingdale’s Zachery Allison (qualified 4th) against Steinbrenner’s Frank Diaz.
138: True 2nd — Runnerup Alex Soto (Riverdale) would face 3rd-place Gannon Wertz (North Port). In the District 8 final, Soto won that matchup with an 8-0 major. True 4th — Matches Palm Harbor University’s Joseph Cuttitta (qualified 4th) against Bloomingdale’s Jose Milord.
145: True 2nd — Runnerup Quinn White (North Port) would face 3rd-place Andy Fellove (Sickles). True 4th — Matches Riverview (Sarasota)’s Elijah Hurt (qualified 4th) against Manatee’s Trenton Johnson. Hurt knocked off Johnson, 6-2, in the District 8 third-place match.
152: True 2nd — Runnerup Malachi Soto (Riverdale) would face 3rd-place Gunner Holland (Osceola). True 4th — Matches Lakewood Ranch’s Travis Ference (qualified 4th) against George Jenkins’ Jalen Williams.
160: True 4th — Matches Sickles’ Cole Tolley (qualified 4th) against Osceola’s Mohammed Bakkali.
170: True 2nd — Runnerup Nicolas Giompalo (Manatee) would face 3rd-place Ranson Coons (Lakewood Ranch) in what would have been a rematch of the District 8 bottom half semifinal, which Giompalo won in that round by a 5-0 count. True 4th — Matches Strawberry Crest’s Lex Strickland (qualified 4th) against Leto’s Jefferson Batista.
182: True 2nd — Runnerup Maks Dimarov (East Lake) would face 3rd-place Maxamus Kyser (Palm Harbor University) in a rematch of the District 7 final, which Kyser had won by 11-2 major. True 4th — Matches Riverdale’s Jonathan Lavandera (qualified 4th) against Ridge Community’s Andrew Bentham.
195: True 2nd — Runnerup Nathan Peoples (George Jenkins) would face 3rd-place Eldon Woolf (Riverdale). No true 4th.
220: True 2nd — Runnerup Philippe Langelier (Riverview) would face 3rd-place Shayne Parris (Riverdale). True 4th — Matches Bartow’s Azarious Williams (qualified 4th) against Steinbrenner’s Colin Bernstein.
285: True 4th — Matches Venice’s Trenton Kintigh (qualified 4th) against Riverview’s Damian Opitz.

Next up — time permitting this week — will be Region 2 in 2A.

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#BraggingRights: 3A-Region 4

Cutting to the chase…

We’re two-thirds done with our analysis of which district won each of the 12 region tournaments in Florida. Next up is Region 4 in 3A. In case you didn’t know how this would go, and that District 16 would dominate the scene, I want to officially welcome you to Florida, as you’ve just moved here in the last week or so.

Dominate doesn’t quite cut it, though, once you look at the data.

We’ll start with a count of the most points scored by district.

District 16 not only tripled the point total of any one of the others, not only held a nearly 300-point lead over the entire rest of the region, but the individual region team champion, the 16’s Southwest Miami, had enough points to beat District 14 by itself; with a couple more max-point wins, the Eagles would have had more points than runnerup District 15.

  • District 16: 950 points.
  • District 15: 296.5
  • District 14: 291.5
  • District 13: 79

How about state qualifiers?

With two exceptions (126 and 220), the weight-class final matched two wrestlers from District 16. Six of those weights were rematches of the South Dade/Southwest Miami rivalry. Every champion came from District 16. The district also had half of the thirds and fourths. It swept all of the state qualifier spots from 160 through 195. All 16, appropriately enough.

  • District 16: 40 qualifiers (14 1st, 12 2nd, 9 3rd, 5 4th).
  • District 15: 8 qualifiers (0 1st, 2 2nd, 3 3rd, 3 4th).
  • District 14: 8 qualifiers (0 1st, 0 2nd, 2 3rd, 6 4th).
  • District 13: No qualifiers.

I also like to look at the depth each region has. One measuring indicator I use is to calculate the depth of each district by compiling the win-loss records of each district’s competitors. The data was clear. District 16 had its fewest number of wins in any given weight class, nine, only at 220 and 285; at every other weight class, it had at least 10. At 195, where it had two additional qualifiers, the 16s were 18-6. I still have four more regions to look at, but I have not seen a weight class rack up that many wins in this past season’s region tournaments.

  • District 16: 185-75
  • District 14: 87-109
  • District 15: 86-109
  • District 13: 25-90

District 16, by any objective measure, is overwhelmingly the strongest district in 3A-Region 4.

Now, for the What Ifs (recall that I brought up the idea of a true second and a true fourth-place finisher). In MOST cases, there will be a true 4th; there would not be a true 2nd if the runnerup and 3rd-place wrestler met in the semis or quarters, that match would be determinative.

106: True 4th — Matches Cypress Bay’s Andrew Punzalan (qualified 4th) against South Broward’s Gabriel Maynard. This would be a rematch of the District 14 final, in which Punzalan won by second-period fall.
113: True 4th — Matches Coral Reef’s Anthony Madriz (qualified 4th) against Miami Palmetto’s Cameron Gallivan. In the District 16 third-place match, Madriz took a 10-4 decision.
120: No true 2nd or 4th.
126: True 4th — Matches Dr Krop’s Jerry Molina (qualified 4th) against Miami Palmetto’s Angel Fernandez.
132: True 4th — Matches Doral Academy’s Enrique Sanchez (qualified 4th) against Goleman’s David Perez. This would be a rematch of the District 15 final, in which Sanchez won by first-period fall.
138: True 4th — Matches Cypress Bay’s Connor Ivory (qualified 4th) against South Broward’s James Blanchard. The wrestlers are district rivals, but did not meet in the District 14 tournament (could have met during the regular season).
145: True 4th — Matches Cypress Bay’s Rafael Diniz (qualified 4th) against Doral Academy’s Enzo Santoro.
152: True 2nd — Runnerup Adrian Ochoa (Southwest Miami) would face 3rd-place Erik Rodriguez (Cypress Bay). No true 4th.
160: True 4th — Matches Columbus’ Rocco D’ascoli (qualified 4th) against Miami Palmetto’s Armando Cardona. The District 16 rivals met in the consi semis of that tournament, with D’ascoli taking a 3-2 decision.
170: True 4th — Matches Coral Gables’ Johan Budel (qualified 4th) against Braddock’s Jason Munoz. The District 16 rivals met in the consi semis of that tournament, with Budel winning by a 10-7 count.
182: True 2nd — Runnerup Ansel Cervantes (Southwest Miami) would face 3rd-place George Montero (Coral Reef). The wrestlers are district rivals, but did not meet in the District 16 tournament (could have met during the regular season). True 4th — Matches Columbus’ Richard Marquez (qualified 4th) against Dr Krop’s Tomas Lado.
195: True 4th — Matches Miami Palmetto’s Richard Alexander (qualified 4th) against Miramar’s Daniel Jean-Charles.
220: True 2nd — Runnerup Edensky Phele (North Miami) would face 3rd-place Imari Milton (Miramar). No true 4th.
285: True 4th — Matches Dr Krop’s Julius Weaver (qualified 4th) against Hialeah Gardens’ Carlos Masis.

Next up — time permitting this week — will be Region 2 in 3A, which will close out our analysis of 3A regions.

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#BraggingRights: 1A-Region 2

Who’s the best?

We can know who the best is in wrestling. But what parts of the country, or state, are better than another, that’s a little harder to pin down.

Sure, it’s possible to have a gut reaction to the question.

I like the data myself.

So, while we’re in summer mode and posting camp flyers on Facebook pages and (hopefully) getting schedules for the coming year, and all of our records updates are done for 2020-21, and we’re in between big events like Disney and Fargo, we’ve got the time to crunch the numbers to answer the big questions.

We’ve looked at the state tournaments; now, the focus switches to the region events, to ask which district won each region. The order’s going to be pretty random.

One unique wrinkle to these posts. I’ve covered high school wrestling in (cranks up the Wayback machine in the head)… SIX states now. I’ve seen a lot. I have to say, I like Iowa’s version of the region round the best, where that state wrestles a true second-place match in determining who goes on to state.

I’m kind of a tinkerer at heart — one of the ideas I’ve championed was adopted by FHSAA this past year, with districts going out to six places and using those from time to time to help fill region brackets.

So in addition to the three measuring sticks of data, I’m offering a What If section of these posts. What if there was a true second? What if there was a true fourth? We’re going to show you who’d be involved, and then you in the various local areas can speculate how those matches would go (when we do my coverage-area regions, I’ll add some regular-season color on how they might have gone).

We’re a little over half done and this is the final “local” region that we’ve got going. Next up is Region 2 in 1A. In past years, you could almost pencil in District 7 in all these categories, but the main reason why is now an independent team. With the powerhouse team of the region now Palm Bay, would the Pirates — and District 8 — replace that power vacuum in the region?

Yes. For the most part, yes.

We’ll start with a count of the most points scored by district.

District 8 ran away with the points lead, as Palm Bay’s individual title total of 300 being enough to more than double District 5 and nearly surpass District 7 by itself. But the rest of the district chipped in an equal share, plus a couple more points, to push its lead out of sight.

  • District 8: 612 points.
  • District 6: 496.5
  • District 7: 348
  • District 5: 142

How about state qualifiers?

Here, too, the 8s dominated, with 10 region champions and matching the rest of the region with seven runners-up. But District 8 had a solid amount of depth — not as many 3rds/4ths as District 6, but, then, it had triple the finalists the 6s had.

  • District 8: 25 qualifiers (10 1st, 7 2nd, 5 3rd, 3 4th).
  • District 6: 17 qualifiers (1 1st, 4 2nd, 6 3rd, 6 4th).
  • District 7: 12 qualifiers (2 1st, 3 2nd, 2 3rd, 5 4th).
  • District 5: 2 qualifiers (1 1st, 0 2nd, 1 3rd, 0 4th).

I also like to look at the depth each region has. One measuring indicator I use is to calculate the depth of each district by compiling the win-loss records of each district’s competitors. While this was the closest measuring stick of the three, the win percentage in favor of the 8s was not close. Overall wins, however, was closer and, in terms of raw data, favored District 6, though District 6 was more likely to have additional qualifiers, which helped.

  • District 8: 123-84
  • District 6: 126-117
  • District 7: 94-99
  • District 5: 40-83

While Palm Bay wasn’t quite an exact fit for the team it replaced atop the Region 2 table, it essentially fulfilled the same role of that team — as the region’s center of power, and District 8 took over as the strongest district as a result.

Now, for the What Ifs. In MOST cases, there will be a true 4th; there would not be a true 2nd if the runnerup and 3rd-place wrestler met in the semis or quarters, that match would be determinative.

106: True 2nd — Runnerup Logan DeLos Santos (Palm Bay) would face 3rd-place Raider Morelli (Space Coast). The district rivals had met in the District 8 final, with DeLos Santos taking a 13-10 decision. True 4th — Matches Master’s Academy’s Dustin Kohn (qualified 4th) against Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel)’s Jaden Desantis.
113: True 2nd — Runnerup Alex McMiller (Satellite) would face 3rd-place Talon Maple (Zephyrhills Christian). True 4th — Matches Merritt Island’s Zane Hudson (qualified 4th) against Space Coast’s Anthony Edwards. Edwards had taken a 7-5 decision in the third-place match at District 8.
120: True 2nd — Runnerup Shaver Jackson (Palm Bay) would face 3rd-place TJ Rodier (Hernando). While I don’t have full results for either team, the pair did meet at Day 1 of state duals, with Jackson taking an 8-6 win. True 4th — Matches Citrus’ Charles Smith against Astronaut’s Preston Pineiro.
126: True 2nd — Runnerup Lucien Comelchook (Merritt Island) would face 3rd-place Diego Mojica (Hernando). True 4th — Matches Zephyrhills Christian’s Landen Holley (qualiifed 4th) against Citrus’ Jacob Reynolds.
132: True 4th — Matches Zephyrhills’ Jaiden Martinez (qualified 4th) against Merritt Island’s Eddie Sears.
138: True 4th — Matches Zephyrhills Christian’s Javier Lopez (qualified 4th) against Nature Coast’s Forest Tilson. The District 6 rivals had previously met in the finals of that tournament, with Lopez winning by second-period fall.
145: True 4th — Matches Villages’ Cameron Rima (qualified 4th) against Wesley Chapel’s Nick Iserino. This would have led to Iserino, instead of Rima, qualifying out, but fair play to Rima, who rallied from the quarterfinal loss with three consi-side wins to qualify out, while Iserino ran into two multiple-time District 8 state qualifiers in the semis and blood round.
152: True 2nd — Runnerup Logan Simpson (Citrus) would face 3rd-place Jason Perez (Hernando). True 4th — Matches Zephyrhills’ Idael Reyes (qualified 4th) against Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel)’s Jonathan Cardona. They’d met in the District 6 semis, where Cardona took a 6-5 win.
160: True 4th — Matches Nature Coast’s Caleb Murray (qualified 4th) against Villages’ Kevin Coon.
170: True 2nd — Runnerup Michael McCarthy (Satellite) would face 3rd-place Khalil Mitchell (Merritt Island). They had met in the District 8 final, with Mitchell winning by first-period fall. True 4th — Matches Palm Bay’s Anthony Holden (qualified 4th) against Hernando’s Nate Greene.
182: True 2nd — Runnerup Jacob Suggs (Bishop Moore) would face 3rd-place Blake Coleman (Citrus). They had met in the District 7 final, with Coleman winning by first-period fall. True 4th — Matches Cocoa’s Troy Sawyer (qualified 4th) against Atlantic’s David Arcieri. The pair of 2021 graduates had met at Space Coast’s Viper Invitational, where Sawyer had won by first-period fall.
195: True 2nd — Runnerup Johnathan Ahne (Hernando) would face 3rd-place Matthew Kovalskiy (Weeki Wachee). They had met in the District 6 final, with Kovalskiy winning by first-period fall. True 4th — Matches Villages’ Jaden Markus (qualified 4th) against Palm Bay’s Octavion Osby.
220: True 2nd — Runnerup Theotis Smith (Zephyrhills) would face 3rd-place Ozkan Aydin (Palm Bay). True 4th — Matches’ Villages’ Nicholas Heise (qualified 4th) against Zephyrhills Christian’s Elijah Austin.
285: True 2nd — Runnerup Carlos Gerardino (Palm Bay) would face 3rd-place Sam Fleming (Hernando). At the first day of state duals, Gerardino won by third-period fall. True 4th — Matches Zephyrhills’ Dajuan McCullough (qualified 4th) against Atlantic’s Jared Jackson. They did not meet during the regular season.

Our next region that we will analyze — the post on it will come out as time permits this coming week, with Fargo taking up some time as well — will be Region 4 in 3A.

JOIN us on Facebook at North Florida Matmen (you can also friend me on my personal page) or on Twitter at @NorthFLAMatmen, or on Instagram at nflamatmen.
Georgia is in full off-season mode! Check out the latest on our affiliated site at  http://sgamatmen.wordpress.com
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#BraggingRights: 3A-Region 1

Who’s the best?

We can know who the best is in wrestling. But what parts of the country, or state, are better than another, that’s a little harder to pin down.

Sure, it’s possible to have a gut reaction to the question.

I like the data myself.

So, while we’re in summer mode and posting camp flyers on Facebook pages and (hopefully) getting schedules for the coming year, and all of our records updates are done for 2020-21, and we’re in between big events like Disney and Fargo, we’ve got the time to crunch the numbers to answer the big questions.

We’ve looked at the state tournaments; now, the focus switches to the region events, to ask which district won each region. The order’s going to be pretty random.

One unique wrinkle to these posts. I’ve covered high school wrestling in (cranks up the Wayback machine in the head)… SIX states now. I’ve seen a lot. I have to say, I like Iowa’s version of the region round the best, where that state wrestles a true second-place match in determining who goes on to state.

I’m kind of a tinkerer at heart — one of the ideas I’ve championed was adopted by FHSAA this past year, with districts going out to six places and using those from time to time to help fill region brackets.

So in addition to the three measuring sticks of data, I’m offering a What If section of these posts. What if there was a true second? What if there was a true fourth? We’re going to show you who’d be involved, and then you in the various local areas can speculate how those matches would go (when we do my coverage-area regions, I’ll add some regular-season color on how they might have gone).

We’re at the halfway point through the regions. Next up is Region 1 in 3A. We might guess that this would be a battle between Districts 1 and 4, under common wisdom, and the common wisdom would be right. Some measurements were closer than others, but those two districts were 1-2 each time, and each time it was District 1 on top.

We’ll start with a count of the most points scored by district.

District 4 had the 2-3-6 teams at Region 1, but the gap between individual champ Fleming Island and the rest of the group, plus five more teams between 7th and 14th, allowed District 1 to eventually grind down the 4s’ early lead and take the points measurement, though the gap was just 3 points per weight class and less than 1 per individual wrestler.

  • District 1: 553 points.
  • District 4: 509
  • District 2: 325
  • District 3: 208.5

How about state qualifiers?

District 1 established itself as the overall leader pretty early on, with power up top and in depth as well. That’s where it was able to separate itself from District 4, was in the difference in depth. However, the 4s dominated when it came to finalists, with 13 in all, eight of them champions.

  • District 1: 21 qualifiers (6 1st, 3 2nd, 8 3rd, 4 4th).
  • District 4: 16 qualifiers (8 1st, 5 2nd, 3 3rd, 0 4th).
  • District 2: 13 qualifiers (0 1st, 3 2nd, 3 3rd, 7 4th).
  • District 3: 6 qualifiers (0 1st, 3 2nd, 0 3rd, 3 4th).

I also like to look at the depth each region has. One measuring indicator I use is to calculate the depth of each district by compiling the win-loss records of each district’s competitors. I think this was District 1’s most solid “win” of the three measurements, as it held a double-digit lead in wins, with one exception, from 126 on up.

  • District 1: 134-93
  • District 4: 112-93
  • District 2: 87-103
  • District 3: 55-101

For 2020-21, Region 1 in 3A was a region where District 1 led the way.

Now, for the What Ifs. In MOST cases, there will be a true 4th; there would not be a true 2nd if the runnerup and 3rd-place wrestler met in the semis or quarters, that match would be determinative.

106: True 2nd — Runnerup Trenton Dominguez (Timber Creek) would face 3rd-place Cavarius Liddie (Buchholz). The pair met on Day 2 at Danny Byron, where Dominguez won that match by fall. True 4th — Matches Fleming’s Island Joseph Forte (qualified 4th) against Creekside’s Andrew Feeks. The two met in pool play duals at Flagler Rotary and again in the District 1 semis, with Forte winning both times by fall.
113: True 2nd — Runnerup Tamarion Kendrick (Apopka) would face 3rd-place Fernando Dominguez (Timber Creek). The two did not face each other in high school competition. No true 4th.
120: True 2nd — Runnerup Diego Solorzano (Lake Mary) would face 3rd-place Kevin Gilley (Oakleaf). The two 2021 graduates did not wrestle in high school. True 4th — Matches Flagler Palm Coast’s John Hald (qualified 4th) against University (Orange City)’s Malique Hargett. They wrestled twice last season, with Hald turning back Hargett, 8-4, at Bi-County, but Hargett won by first-period fall in the District 2 semifinals. Hald had won twice (pin & major decision) in 2019-20.
126: True 4th — Matches Oakleaf’s Marcus McGee (qualified 4th) against Colonial’s Brandon Vargas. The pair did not meet this past season, but did meet in the consi bracket of Region 1 in 2019-20, where McGee took a 10-0 major.
132: True 2nd — Runnerup Jameel Smith (Mandarin) would face 3rd-place Xavier Logan (Fleming Island). The pair were 1-1 against each other last year, with Logan winning by 4-2 decision in the Keystone Memorial final; Smith won, 6-4, in the District 1 final. True 4th — Matches Apopka’s Bonosky Fidel (qualified 4th) against Lake Mary’s Dominic Rubino. In results I have, which are not comprehensive for these two teams, I do not show that these rising seniors have met in high school competition.
138: True 4th — Matches Buchholz’s Timothy Bowen (qualified 4th) against Fleming Island’s Garrett Cole. The pair did meet this past season, in the Region 1 duals semifinal, where Bowen posted a 4-2 win.
145: True 2nd — Runnerup Carl Patrick (Oviedo) would face 3rd-place Aiden Moore (Buchholz). They met in the finals at Tournament of Champions, where Patrick won by major decision. True 4th — Matches Apopka’s Ransom Randolph (qualified 4th) against Evans’ Tyran Schanck. While I have less-than-comprehensive results on these two teams, the pair did meet in the District 3 final, where Randolph won by fall.
152: True 2nd — Runnerup Blake Watts (Hagerty) would face 3rd-place Timothy King (Flagler Palm Coast). The pair of rising seniors met during the regular season, with King decisioning Watts by an 8-3 count at Flagler Rotary. Watts won by fall over King in December 2019, during Johnny Rouse competition. True 4th — Matches Creekside’s Diego Rivera (qualified 4th) against Oakleaf’s Roman Polinsky. The District 1 rivals met twice during the season, with Polinsky taking a 6-4 win in the district final; at district duals, Rivera won by fall.
160: True 2nd — Runnerup Blane DeFord (Flagler Palm Coast) would face 3rd-place David Parkes (Fleming Island). While the pair did not meet last season, they did face off twice in 2019-20, where DeFord won twice by decision (8-3 at Region 1 duals, 7-3 at Flagler Rotary). No true 4th.
170: True 4th — Matches Flagler Palm Coast’s Bryce Dodge (qualified 4th) against Timber Creek’s Zach Hanks. The pair did not meet in high school competition.
182: True 2nd — Runnerup Bryan Fortay (Creekside) would face 3rd-place Tony Carter (Mandarin). The pair wrestled in the District 1 final, where Carter took a 6-4 win. No true 4th.
195: True 4th — Matches Colonial’s Seth Suvak (qualified 4th) against Mandarin’s Jaelen Simmons. The pair did not meet in high school.
220: True 4th — Matches University (Orange City)’s Christian Kennick (qualified 4th) against Buchholz’s Drew Lewis. The duo met in the District 2 final, where Kennick scored a takedown in overtime for a 2-0 win.
285: True 2nd — Runnerup Jordan Phillips (Ocoee) would face 3rd-place Hayden Clem (Winter Park). Based upon results I have (which again are not complete), they did not wrestle in high school. True 4th  — Matches Mandarin’s Andres Rodriguez (qualified 4th) against Oakleaf’s Jordan Mitchell. The pair met in the District 1 3rd-place match, where Mitchell won by first-period fall.

Tomorrow, time permitting (our Saturdays are very full, particularly when wrestling in mid-July is part of them), we will take a look at 1A-Region 2.

JOIN us on Facebook at North Florida Matmen (you can also friend me on my personal page) or on Twitter at @NorthFLAMatmen, or on Instagram at nflamatmen.
Georgia is in full off-season mode! Check out the latest on our affiliated site at  http://sgamatmen.wordpress.com
Please support our independent journalism!
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#BraggingRights: 1A-Region 1

Who’s the best?

We can know who the best is in wrestling. But what parts of the country, or state, are better than another, that’s a little harder to pin down.

Sure, it’s possible to have a gut reaction to the question.

I like the data myself.

So, while we’re in summer mode and posting camp flyers on Facebook pages and (hopefully) getting schedules for the coming year, and all of our records updates are done for 2020-21, and we’re in between big events like Disney and Fargo, we’ve got the time to crunch the numbers to answer the big questions.

We’ve looked at the state tournaments; now, the focus switches to the region events, to ask which district won each region. The order’s going to be pretty random.

One unique wrinkle to these posts. I’ve covered high school wrestling in (cranks up the Wayback machine in the head)… SIX states now. I’ve seen a lot. I have to say, I like Iowa’s version of the region round the best, where that state wrestles a true second-place match in determining who goes on to state.

I’m kind of a tinkerer at heart — one of the ideas I’ve championed was adopted by FHSAA this past year, with districts going out to six places and using those from time to time to help fill region brackets.

So in addition to the three measuring sticks of data, I’m offering a What If section of these posts. What if there was a true second? What if there was a true fourth? We’re going to show you who’d be involved, and then you in the various local areas can speculate how those matches would go (when we do my coverage-area regions, I’ll add some regular-season color on how they might have gone).

We said we’d be pretty random, and the next region up (we’ll do all 12) is Region 1 in 1A. While one district, District 2, as the leader of the region — which we would have guessed — what was SOMETHING of a surprise was how close the races were. We’ll outline that as we go.

We’ll start with a count of the most points scored by district.

District 2, with four teams in the top seven in the region tournament contested at Bolles, built a very big early lead, but Districts 3 and 4 chipped away, and chipped away, and chipped away at it. The gap between 2 and second-place 4 was right around one point per wrestler, or three points per weight class. And the gap between 4 and third-place 3 was less than one point per weight class! Virtually a dead heat.

  • District 2: 495 points
  • District 4: 441.5
  • District 3: 432
  • District 1: 233.5

How about state qualifiers?

This was probably District 2’s biggest gap between it and the rest of the region, and it was built not through champions, but by depth, as the 2s had 12 wrestlers finish second or third. District 4 was tops in champions (and had the only wrestlers to win state titles the following week, while District 3 racked up half the fourth-place finishes.

  • District 2: 20 qualifiers (4 1st, 5 2nd, 7 3rd, 4 4th).
  • District 3: 16 qualifiers (4 1st, 3 2nd, 2 3rd, 7 4th).
  • District 4: 15 qualifiers (6 1st, 3 2nd, 4 3rd, 2 4th).
  • District 1: 5 qualifiers (0 1st, 3 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 4th).

I also like to look at the depth each region has. One measuring indicator I use is to calculate the depth of each district by compiling the win-loss records of each district’s competitors. While District 3 had the most wins in the tournament (122), District 2 had a better win percentage, a lead it started holding from 132 onward.

  • District 2: 110-86 (56.12% win percentage).
  • District 3: 122-105 (53.74%)
  • District 4: 94-87 (51.93%)
  • District 1: 62-110

District 2 held the lead, and carried the day, but it had plenty of fights along the way; the gap between first and third was very small, which is unlike any of the regions I’ve done so far.

Now, for the What Ifs. In MOST cases, there will be a true 4th; there would not be a true 2nd if the runnerup and 3rd-place wrestler met in the semis or quarters, that match would be determinative.

106: True 4th — Matches Suwannee’s Topher Pearson (qualified 4th) against Wewahitchka’s Jay Brown. They did not meet this past season, the first varsity season for each of them.
113: True 4th — Matches Bishop Kenny’s Ryan Mayer (qualified 4th) against Bolles’ Jacob Witt. Mayer and Witt split a pair of matches this past year, with Witt taking a 2-0 decision at Panther Prowl, and Mayer winning by a 6-4 count in the Clay Rotary semis. The pair met once in 2019-20 (Mayer won that by decision), twice in 2018-19 (Witt won both by fall) and twice in 2017-18 (Witt by tech fall & pin).
120: No true 2nd or 4th, as both matches were wrestled earlier in the tournament.
126: True 2nd — Runnerup Timothy Jolicoeur (Suwannee) would face 3rd-place Jeremy Mahoney (Fernandina Beach). The pair of wrestlers, both graduates this spring, did not face each other this past season. Jolicoeur had four decisions over Mahoney in 2019-20, however; that was the only year they’d faced each other. No true 4th.
132: True 2nd — Runnerup Joe Jackson (Episcopal) would face 3rd-place Jackson Merrick (Wakulla). The 2021 graduates never met in high school. True 4th — Matches Clay’s Chandler Thomas (qualified 4th) against Suwannee’s Brody Boehm. They also didn’t meet this past season.
138: True 2nd — Runnerup Tyson Musgrove (Suwannee) would face 3rd-place Emil Ganim (Florida High). The pair met twice during the season, with Musgrove taking a 6-2 win for 3rd place at Keystone and a 7-4 decision in the District 2 final; at states, in the blood round, Ganim won by a 5-4 count. True 4th — Matches Yulee’s Dylan Johns (qualified 4th) against Episcopal’s Noah Meyer. Johns had two prior wins over Meyer this past year, with an 11-6 decision at district duals and a win by fall in the District 3 final.
145: True 4th — Matches Clay’s Josh Kumpf (qualified 4th) against Bay’s Corban Cherry. The pair of rising seniors have never met in high school competition.
152: True 4th — Matches Bishop Kenny’s Collin Hearn (qualified 4th) against Rocky Bayou Christian’s Calvin Wells. The wrestlers never met in high school competition.
160: True 4th — Matches Florida High’s Xander Hawkes (qualified 4th) against Bishop Kenny’s Paul Barakat. The pair did meet during the 2020-21 regular season, with Barakat taking a 9-4 win at Yulee Duals.
170: True 2nd — Runnerup Chase Maddox (South Walton) would face 3rd-place Ethan Larsen (Clay). The duo never met in high school competition. True 4th — Matches Yulee’s Collin Sewell (qualified 4th) against Baker County’s Clayton Dennison, assuming Sewell could compete (he’d been injured). The wrestlers never met in high school competition.
182: True 2nd — Runnerup Jackson Osteen (Wakulla) would face 3rd-place Conner South (Baker County). Osteen scored a takedown in sudden victory for an 8-6 win in the District 2 final. True 4th — Matches Yulee’s Kaleb Reddish (qualified 4th) against Rutherford’s Chad Allgood. At MyHOUSE duals at Wakulla in January, Allgood won by fall in that lone matchup between the two.
195: True 2nd — Runnerup David Mercado (North Bay Haven) would face 3rd-place Jamari Watson (Raines). They hadn’t met prior to the region tournament, but would face off in the blood round at states, where Watson won by fall en route to taking 3rd. True 4th — Matches Yulee’s Braylen Ricks (qualified 4th) against Suwannee’s Blaine Howard. The pair never met in high school.
220: No true 2nd or 4th.
285: True 4th — Matches Wakulla’s Jayven Hearns (qualified 4th) against Bishop Snyder’s Angel Lecointe. The wrestlers did not meet in high school competition.

Tomorrow, time permitting (we’ve got several things going on, new/returning coaches to whom we need to reach out, similar projects going on in Georgia, plus there’s this little tournament going on in North Dakota), we’re staying in north Florida with a review of 3A-Region 1.

JOIN us on Facebook at North Florida Matmen (you can also friend me on my personal page) or on Twitter at @NorthFLAMatmen, or on Instagram at nflamatmen.
Georgia is in full off-season mode! Check out the latest on our affiliated site at  http://sgamatmen.wordpress.com
Please support our independent journalism!
We’re on Venmo now: Shannon-Heaton-6
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#BraggingRights: 2A-Region 1

Who’s the best?

We can know who the best is in wrestling. But what parts of the country, or state, are better than another, that’s a little harder to pin down.

Sure, it’s possible to have a gut reaction to the question.

I like the data myself.

So, while we’re in summer mode and posting camp flyers on Facebook pages and (hopefully) getting schedules for the coming year, and all of our records updates are done for 2020-21, and we’re in between big events like Disney and Fargo, we’ve got the time to crunch the numbers to answer the big questions.

We’ve looked at the state tournaments; now, the focus switches to the region events, to ask which district won each region. The order’s going to be pretty random.

One unique wrinkle to these posts. I’ve covered high school wrestling in (cranks up the Wayback machine in the head)… SIX states now. I’ve seen a lot. I have to say, I like Iowa’s version of the region round the best, where that state wrestles a true second-place match in determining who goes on to state.

I’m kind of a tinkerer at heart — one of the ideas I’ve championed was adopted by FHSAA this past year, with districts going out to six places and using those from time to time to help fill region brackets.

So in addition to the three measuring sticks of data, I’m offering a What If section of these posts. What if there was a true second? What if there was a true fourth? We’re going to show you who’d be involved, and then you in the various local areas can speculate how those matches would go (when we do my coverage-area regions, I’ll add some regular-season color on how they might have gone).

We said we’d be pretty random, and the next region up (we’ll do all 12) is our first northern region, Region 1 in 2A. Like 2A-R4 two days ago, one district ruled them all. As we would have expected based on performances over time and throughout the regular season, it was District 2 that took top honors in all three measuring sticks to determine the overall strength of each district in comparison with one another in 2A-R1.

We’ll start with a count of the most points scored by district.

While individual team champ New Smyrna Beach wasn’t in District 2, the 2s had three of the region’s top six teams, and that helped build a substantial lead that was made overwhelming by depth by three more teams. As we’ll see in the other two measurements, there were substantial gaps between 2nd and 3rd and 3rd and 4th among the districts, as well.

  • District 2: 539 points
  • District 4: 428
  • District 1: 343.5
  • District 3: 256.5

How about state qualifiers?

Here, too, District 2 jumped out fast, with all six of the first three weight classes’ finalists (the district would roll up 13 finalists and the lion’s share of individual region titles, with seven, plus more 3rds (five) than any other district.

  • District 2: 21 state qualifiers (7 1st, 6 2nd, 5 3rd, 3 4th).
  • District 4: 15 state qualifiers (2 1st, 7 2nd, 3 3rd, 3 4th).
  • District 1: 13 state qualifiers (2 1st, 0 2nd, 4 3rd, 7 4th).
  • District 3: 7 state qualifiers (3 1st, 1 2nd, 2 3rd, 1 4th).

I also like to look at the depth each region has. One measuring indicator I use is to calculate the depth of each district by compiling the win-loss records of each district’s competitors. District 4 was, through 160, just one additional loss behind the 2s, but the 2s put it away behind weight-class wins at 170 and 195, plus a 13-win effort from the four-man group at 285.

  • District 2: 122-97
  • District 4: 104-96
  • District 1: 95-100
  • District 3: 67-99

So there you have it. Some interesting conclusions to draw. Pretty clear gaps between the four districts in 2A-R1.

Now, for the What Ifs. In MOST cases, there will be a true 4th; there would not be a true 2nd if the runnerup and 3rd-place wrestler met in the semis or quarters, that match would be determinative.

106: True 4th — Matches Chiles’ Sam Tolomeo (qualified 4th after being added as an additional region qualifier following a 5th at districts) against Middleburg’s Shane Jourdan. Although the Timberwolves and Broncos were in the same district in 2020-21, the two — both freshmen last season — never met, not even at districts.
113: True 2nd — Runnerup Garrett Marschka (Chiles) and 3rd-place Grady Woodard (Middleburg) would meet. Marschka turned back Woodard, 6-4, in the district semis. True 4th — Matches Belleview’s Zackery Young (qualified 4th) against Ft Walton Beach’s Zak Vosburgh. Young and Vosburgh did not wrestle each other in the run up to regions.
120: No true 2nd or true 4th.
126: True 2nd — Runnerup Riley Girgis (Middleburg) and 3rd-place Logan Merritt (Gulf Breeze) would meet; they have not wrestled each other in high school. True 4th — Matches Niceville’s Noah Tritz (qualified 4th) against Seabreeze’s Joseph Kent. Likewise, the two never wrestled in HS competition.
132: True 4th — Matches St Augustine’s Brayden Lovingood (qualified 4th) against Choctaw’s Steven Banfield. The two have not met in HS competition.
138: True 4th — Matches Pace’s Cam Friend (qualified 4th) against St Augustine’s Carlos Quintanal. The two, both graduates in May, did not meet in high school.
145: True 2nd — Runnerup Nick Hejke (Mosley) would face 3rd-place Gabe Daltro (Fletcher). The pair of wrestlers faced off in the semis at Clay Rotary, where Hejke won by fall. True 4th — As at 138, Pace’s Atticus Waters (qualified 4th) would face St Augustine’s Gabe Galloza. The two did not wrestle while both were in high school.
152: True 2nd — Runnerup Tyson Mills (Matanzas) would face 3rd-place Thomas Greene (Columbia). The pair of wrestlers (both rising seniors in 2021-22) have not met in high school thus far. True 4th — Matches Mosley’s Nick Kendrick (qualified fourth) against First Coast’s Josiah Mossor. The wrestlers did meet in the quarters on Friday at regions, with Mossor taking a 7-1 decision, but fair play to Kendrick, who rallied from the quarterfinal loss by defeating two former state qualifiers en route to the blood round, where he secured his second state appearance.
160: True 2nd — Runnerup Jordan Mills (Matanzas) would face 3rd-place Clint Griffin (St Augustine). That would be a rematch of the District 4 final, where Mills took an 8-2 decision. True 4th — Matches Ft Walton Beach’s Caleb Tourgee (qualified 4th) against Pace’s Joseph Cortez. During the season, Tourgee and Cortez wrestled three times, with Tourgee winning at Border Wars (6-4, final) and Cortez winning twice (4-2 at district duals, 4-2 at district traditionals in the final). The pair of 2021 graduates had not met prior to their senior seasons.
170: True 4th — Matches Niceville’s Martin Black (qualified 4th) against Pace’s Brody Andrews. While Black majored Andrews (16-4) in the District 1 final, Andrews had a pin over Black at district duals. In 2020 (Andrews’ junior season, Black’s sophomore year) Andrews decisioned Black, 10-4, in the District 1 final.
182: True 2nd — Runnerup Ryan Murphy (St Augustine) would face 3rd-place Hunter Dupont (Gulf Breeze). The 2021 graduates, as it turned out, never faced each other in high school. No true 4th, as the two participants in this match already faced off in the quarters, with the state qualifier winning the match.
195: True 2nd — Runnerup Doug Dittmer (New Smyrna Beach) would face 3rd-place Wyatt Yown (Lincoln). Although the 2021 graduates had not met prior to regions this season, they actually did meet for fifth and sixth at states, with Dittmer taking a 7-1 win. True 4th — Matches Pace’s Wyatt Dillon (qualified 4th) against Seabreeze’s Caiden Patton. The 2021 graduates never faced each other in HS.
220: No true 2nd or true 4th.
285: True 2nd — Runnerup Jaycob Jones (Columbia) would face 3rd-place Gabriel Hecht (Orange Park). They met in the District 2 semis, where Jones took a 7-2 decision. True 4th — Matches Mosley’s Robert Wills (qulified 4th) against Mainland’s Jordan Colubiale. The two did not meet in high school.

Tomorrow, we’ll pick up our first 3A region, heading south to the Treasure Coast and Palm Beach areas to run through 3A-Region 3.

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#THESEASON

#BraggingRights: 1A-Region 3

Who’s the best?

We can know who the best is in wrestling. But what parts of the country, or state, are better than another, that’s a little harder to pin down.

Sure, it’s possible to have a gut reaction to the question.

I like the data myself.

So, while we’re in summer mode and posting camp flyers on Facebook pages and (hopefully) getting schedules for the coming year, and all of our records updates are done for 2020-21, and we’re in between big events like Disney and Fargo, we’ve got the time to crunch the numbers to answer the big questions.

We’ve looked at the state tournaments; now, the focus switches to the region events, to ask which district won each region. The order’s going to be pretty random.

One unique wrinkle to these posts. I’ve covered high school wrestling in (cranks up the Wayback machine in the head)… SIX states now. I’ve seen a lot. I have to say, I like Iowa’s version of the region round the best, where that state wrestles a true second-place match in determining who goes on to state.

I’m kind of a tinkerer at heart — one of the ideas I’ve championed was adopted by FHSAA this past year, with districts going out to six places and using those from time to time to help fill region brackets.

So in addition to the three measuring sticks of data, I’m offering a What If section of these posts. What if there was a true second? What if there was a true fourth? We’re going to show you who’d be involved, and then you in the various local areas can speculate how those matches would go (when we do my coverage-area regions, I’ll add some regular-season color on how they might have gone).

We said we’d be pretty random, and the next region up (we’ll do all 12) is Region 3 in 1A. Unlike Sunday’s post with 2A-Region 4, where the best district almost depended on which measuring stick used, this one came back with one answer. District 12, covering the area from North Port south to Naples, carried the day as the top district in 1A-Region 3.

We’ll start as we did Sunday, with a count of the most points scored by district.

Behind the 1-2 punch of team champ Lemon Bay and fourth-place Oasis, plus a third top-10 finish from Naples’ First Baptist Academy, the 12s surged ahead early and weren’t challenged. The battle between the other three districts was very close, as the gap between 2nd and 4th was just 35.5 points, only 2.5 points per weight class.

  • District 12: 509 points
  • District 11: 409.5
  • District 9: 379.5
  • District 10: 374

How about state qualifiers?

Here, too, District 12 had the way of it, with the most champs (five) and finalists (nine), plus the most fourths. The gap between 2nd and 4th reflected the points spread as well, as just three region medals separated second from fourth.

  • District 12: 19 state qualifiers (5 1st, 4 2nd, 3 3rd, 7 4th).
  • District 11: 14 state qualifiers (2 1st, 2 2nd, 8 3rd, 2 4th).
  • District 9: 12 state qualifiers (4 1st, 3 2nd, 2 3rd, 3 4th).
  • District 10: 11 state qualifiers (3 1st, 5 2nd, 1 3rd, 2 4th).

I also like to look at the depth each region has. One measuring indicator I use is to calculate the depth of each district by compiling the win-loss records of each district’s competitors. Here, the spread between the best district and the others was significantly smaller, but here, too, District 12 came out on top.

District 12: 114-99
District 11: 101-97
District 10: 87-95
District 9: 84-95

So there you have it. Some interesting conclusions to draw.

Now, for the What Ifs. In MOST cases, there will be a true 4th; there would not be a true 2nd if the runnerup and 3rd-place wrestler met in the semis, that match would be determinative.

106: True 2nd — Runnerup Ryan Kissel (Carrollwood Day) and 3rd-place Diogo Santos (Berkeley Prep) were in opposite semis. It would be a rematch of the District 9 final, which Santos won by first-period fall. No true 4th, the two wrestlers that would have met there met in the quarters.
113: True 2nd — Runnerup Andres DiGregoli (First Baptist) and 3rd-place Logan Kelly (Lemon Bay) were in opposite halves in a rematch of the District 12 final, which DiGregoli had won by a 7-2 count. True 4th — Matches Tenoroc’s Brandon Coleman (qualified 4th) against McKeel’s Cade Beke, a rematch of the District 11 final, which Coleman won by 18-12 decision.
120: True 2nd — Runnerup Jacob Bacon (First Baptist) and third-place Guy Yodock (McKeel) were in opposite halves. True 4th — Matches Lemon Bay’s Brycen Warren (qualified 4th) against Tenoroc’s Rafael Paz.
126: True 4th — Matches Lemon Bay’s Johnathon Hartsikov-Newsome (qualified 4th) against Parrish’s Tyler Roper.
132: True 4th — Matches Bayshore’s Amulek Partida (qualified 4th) against Discovery’s Coty Meadows.
138: True 2nd — Runnerup Brendan Palamar (Carrollwood Day) and 3rd-place Owen McNabb (McKeel) were in opposite halves and didn’t see each other earlier. True 4th — Matches Oasis’ Kai Shelton (qualified 4th) against Lemon Bay’s Ashton Tucker; that would be a rematch of the District 12 semis, which Shelton won by a 12-10 decision.
145: True 2nd — Runnerup Mateo Villalobos (Bonita Springs) and 3rd-place Cody McNabb (McKeel) were in opposite halves. True 4th — Matches Tarpon Springs’ Jacob Farren (qualified 4th) against Tenoroc’s Leighton Tinch (assuming Tinch could continue, given his previous match was a loss by injury default).
152: True 2nd — Runnerup Erik Borresen (Sarasota Military) and 3rd-place Konstantin Houvardas (Berkeley Prep) were in opposite halves. True 4th — Matches Lemon Bay’s Austin Werden (qualified 4th) against Dunedin’s Sam Haertle.
160: True 2nd — Runnerup Mailo Johnson (Dunedin) and 3rd-place Nicolas Sheets (Admiral Farragut) were in opposite halves. True 4th — Matches Berkeley Prep’s Andrew Crouch (qualified 4th) against First Baptist’s Colby Gonzalez.
170: No true 2nd (participants previously met in semis) or true 4th (prospective participants previously met in quarters).
182: True 4th — The prospective participants that would meet here under a true-4th scenario did meet in the quarters, with the wrestler that won that match (Gibbs’ Elijah Crawford, by a wild 23-20 count over eventual 4th-place Ashton Gehret of McKeel) not getting out. But fair play to Gehret, a 2021 McKeel grad, who won three matches (two by pin over district rivals) at the back to earn a state spot.
195: True 2nd — Runnerup Scott Lynch (Northside Christian) and 3rd-place Eric Cooper (Mulberry) were in opposite halves. True 4th — Matches Lemon Bay’s Louis Baldor (qualified 4th) against Bradenton Christian’s Carson Allman, who’d lost to Cooper in round 1 and then got back to a blood-round rematch loss against Cooper.
220: True 4th — Matches Berkeley Prep’s Jared Noh (qualified 4th) against Oasis’ Ryan Anderson.
285: True 2nd — Runnerup Joquorius Taylor (Mulberry) and 3rd-place Chance Larsen (Avon Park) were in opposite halves; this would be a rematch of the District 11 final, which Larsen won by fall. True 4th — Matches Labelle’s Justin Connell (qualified 4th) and Lakewood’s Jacquez McCrea.

Tomorrow, we’ll pick up our first northern run-through with 2A-Region 1.

JOIN us on Facebook at North Florida Matmen (you can also friend me on my personal page) or on Twitter at @NorthFLAMatmen, or on Instagram at nflamatmen.
Georgia is in full off-season mode! Check out the latest on our affiliated site at  http://sgamatmen.wordpress.com
Please support our independent journalism!
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